Figure 4. Performance measures of original and proposed SA-CES estimators
Variance of idiosyncratic CES error Original SA-CES estimate Proposed SA-CES estimate (p = 0) Proposed SA-CES estimate (p = 0.01) Proposed SA-CES estimate (p = 0.1) Proposed SA-CES estimate (p = 0.5) Proposed SA-CES estimate (p = 1)

0.00001

0.002915 0.000114 0.000319 0.000937 0.002075 0.002933

0.00002

0.004123 0.000162 0.000451 0.001325 0.002934 0.004147

0.00003

0.005049 0.000198 0.000552 0.001622 0.003593 0.005079

0.00004

0.005830 0.000229 0.000638 0.001873 0.004149 0.005865

0.00005

0.006518 0.000256 0.000713 0.002094 0.004639 0.006557

0.00006

0.007140 0.000280 0.000781 0.002294 0.005082 0.007182

0.00007

0.007712 0.000302 0.000844 0.002478 0.005488 0.007757

0.00008

0.008245 0.000323 0.000902 0.002649 0.005867 0.008293

0.00009

0.008745 0.000343 0.000957 0.002809 0.006223 0.008796

0.00010

0.009218 0.000362 0.001008 0.002961 0.006560 0.009272

0.00025

0.014576 0.000572 0.001595 0.004682 0.010370 0.014659

0.00050

0.020611 0.000808 0.002256 0.006621 0.014666 0.020731

0.00075

0.025246 0.000990 0.002763 0.008107 0.017960 0.025389

0.00100

0.029151 0.001143 0.003190 0.009362 0.020739 0.029318

0.00125

0.032592 0.001279 0.003568 0.010467 0.023187 0.032777

0.00150

0.035702 0.001409 0.003909 0.011466 0.025402 0.035904

0.00175

0.038562 0.001521 0.004220 0.012384 0.027438 0.038781

0.00200

0.041222 0.001626 0.004509 0.013241 0.029333 0.041459

0.00225

0.043722 0.001729 0.004785 0.014045 0.031113 0.043971

0.00250

0.046085 0.001826 0.005046 0.014805 0.032797 0.046350

0.00275

0.048333 0.001914 0.005294 0.015527 0.034395 0.048611

0.00300

0.050482 0.002001 0.005530 0.016219 0.035926 0.050774

0.00325

0.052543 0.002084 0.005756 0.016881 0.037392 0.052848

0.00350

0.054529 0.002163 0.005973 0.017519 0.038804 0.054848

0.00375

0.056444 0.002237 0.006184 0.018134 0.040166 0.056777

0.00400

0.058295 0.002315 0.006389 0.018729 0.041485 0.058639

Note: SA-CES = Seasonally adjusted Current Employment Statistics.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.