FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.S.T. FRIDAY, APRIL 4, 1997 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Standard Time. Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday April 4, 1997 Good morning. I am pleased to have this opportunity to comment on the labor market data released this morning. Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 175,000 in March. The unemployment rate, at 5.2 percent, was about unchanged over the month; it has ranged from 5.2 to 5.4 percent since mid-1996. Nearly two-thirds of March job growth occurred in services, where employment rose by 111,000. Business services added 58,000 jobs, in part reflecting a sizable gain in help supply services (25,000). The average monthly gain in help supply thus far this year has been 16,000; over the past 12 months, employment in the industry has grown by 7 percent, more than three times the rate of growth for the rest of the nonfarm economy as a whole. Still, I would note that the pace of job growth in help supply services has slowed dramatically since the early stages of this expansion. Also within business services, computer and data processing continued its robust pace of job growth; indeed, employment in that relatively small industry grew by 150,000 in the last year alone. Employment in health services increased by 22,000, with a large gain among hospitals. Elsewhere in the service-producing sector of the economy, retail employment rose by 43,000. Employment in department stores grew for the second month in a row, recouping January’s decline; over the past year, nearly 100,000 jobs have been added in this industry. Other retailers with sizable March employment gains included food stores, suppliers of building materials, and auto dealers. There also was a substantial employment increase at the wholesale level in March, as employment rose by 19,000. This is the second large employment gain in wholesale trade in as many months; the industry has been a steady producer of jobs since late 1993. Finance experienced an unusually large employment increase in March (17,000), reflecting growth in banks and security and mortgage brokerages. There also was a modest increase in transportation employment (11,000). In government, employment fell slightly in local education in March, following strong growth in the prior two months. Federal employment continued its long-term decline. In the goods-producing sector of the economy, manufacturing employment rose by 16,000 in March, with substantial employment additions in lumber and wood products and in industrial machinery. Employment in most other manufacturing industries showed little or no movement over the month, with the exception of apparel, where employment continued to recede. The factory workweek rose two-tenths of an hour in March to 42.1 hours and factory overtime rose by a similar amount to 4.9 hours. These levels are quite high by historical standards; indeed, factory overtime is at its highest level since we began measuring it in 1956. Employment in construction fell slightly in March, following very robust growth in February. Construction employment levels have been somewhat volatile in recent months, reflecting unusual winter weather patterns and the statistical difficulties inherent in adjusting for these fluctuating seasonal conditions. A longer-term view suggests that underlying job growth in the industry has been quite strong. Since October, the average monthly employment gain has been 30,000, somewhat above the average monthly increase for the prior 12 months. Average hourly earnings among private production and nonsupervisory workers rose 5 cents in March to $12.15, following a similarly sized increase in February. Over the past year, average hourly earnings have increased by 4.0 percent. The pace of earnings growth has continued to drift upward for several years now. Looking at a few of the major labor market indicators from our survey of households, the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged in March at 5.2 percent. The number of unemployed persons, at 7.1 million, also differed little from the February figure. There was little or no change in the jobless rates for the major demographic groups. There was a substantial increase in total employment in March. Over the past year, total employment as measured by the household survey has risen by 2.8 million (after adjusting for the effects of population controls introduced earlier this year). This is roughly in line with the over- the-year increase in payroll employment (2.7 million). The employment-population ratio, at 63.8 percent in March, is at a record high. The number of persons employed part-time who would have preferred full-time employment, at 4.2 million, changed little over the month. The multiple jobholding rate was 6.1 percent (not seasonally adjusted), basically in line with the levels that have prevailed for several years. In summary, payroll employment rose moderately in March, and the unemployment rate, at 5.2 percent, was about unchanged. My colleagues and I now would be glad to respond to your questions. 5 4