TEXT FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.S.T. FRIDAY, APRIL 5, 1996 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics April 5, 1996 Good morning. I am pleased to be here to comment on the March 1996 employment and unemployment data that were released this morning. Payroll job growth continued in March, and the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 5.6 percent. Nonfarm payroll employment, as measured by the establishment survey, grew by 140,000 in March. The increase in payroll jobs during the first quarter of this year has averaged 206,000 a month. This is above the monthly average for the last 3 quarters of 1995, but still below 1994s average monthly increase. Job growth in March was led by the services industry, which added 131,000 workers. Health services, as well as seasonal industries including hotels and also amusements and recreation had large gains. Computer services and engineering and management services continued their strong growth trends. Employment in help supply services, which has shown sporadic growth over the past year, was down slightly in March. Manufacturing lost 62,000 jobs last month. More than half of these losses stemmed from a strike in two auto brake plants that temporarily shut down auto part and assembly plants elsewhere. Many of the affected plants, however, were operational for at least a part of the survey reference period. Thus, because our survey defines anyone who is paid for even an hour of work as employed, the payroll employment figures do not reflect the total number of workers who ultimately lost work time as a direct result of the auto strike. The factory workweek fell by two-tenths of an hour and factory overtime declined by three-tenths of an hour, largely due to the effects of the strike. Employment in other manufacturing industries continued to be weak. Even electronic and electrical equipment experienced a small employment decline. Employment in construction posted a slight decline, on a seasonally adjusted basis, following an unusually large gain in February. Underlying this decline was slower-than- normal seasonal hiring in the South and West, where job gains had been quite strong in January and February. Mining employment grew for the second month in a row, adding 3,000 jobs, largely in oil and gas extraction. Local government added 31,000 jobs in March. Some of this increase was accounted for by temporary poll worker positions. Declines continued in the employment of federal government workers, exclusive of postal workers, at the accelerated pace that was set in the second half of last year. Since its recent May 1992 peak, Federal employment, again excluding the Postal Service, has fallen by 271,000, or 12 percent. Turning to data from the household survey, 7.5 million persons were unemployed in March, and the unemployment rate stood at 5.6 percent. Neither measure changed significantly over the month. The unemployment rate has now remained within a narrow range (5.4 percent to 5.8 percent) for the last 18 months. Among the major race/ethnic groups, the unemployment rate for blacks rose. The number of unemployed persons who had been jobless for more than half a year rose to 1.3 million in March. As a share of the labor force, the number of long-term unemployed is high for this point in an expansion. The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons, which was 4.5 million in March, has changed little over the past year. The total number of employed persons (which includes the self-employed and agricultural workers as well as nonfarm wage and salary workers) grew by 488,000 in March. The employment-to-population ratio (that is, the percent of the civilian population 16 years of age and older that is employed) rose to 63.1 percent, the highest it has been since April of last year. The civilian labor force rose by 637,000 in March. The labor force has grown rapidly over the past 3 months; in contrast, the labor force was almost unchanged over the last half of 1995. Over the year ending in March 1996, the number of persons in the labor force grew by 1.3 million, about in line with our long-term projections. The labor force participation rate (the percent of the civilian population aged 16 and over that is in the labor force) jumped to 66.9 percent in March, the same as a year earlier. In summary, payroll employment grew moderately in March. Employment gains in the first three months of 1996 were greater, on average, than during most of 1995. Unemployment, which has remained within a narrow range for a year and a half, was essentially unchanged. My colleagues and I now would be glad to answer your questions.