TEXT FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.D.T. FRIDAY, JULY 7, 1995 ___________________________________________________________ Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. ____________________________________________ Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics July 7, 1995 Good morning. I would like to take this opportunity to offer a few comments to supplement our analysis of the employment and unemployment data released this morning. Nonfarm payroll employment rose moderately in June, and the unemployment rate was virtually unchanged. Led by increases in services and construction, the number of payroll jobs increased by 215,000 over the month, after showing little change in the prior 2 months. In manufacturing, however, employment continued to decline. The unemployment rate in June was 5.6 percent; after falling sharply during 1994, the rate has fluctuated between 5.4 and 5.8 percent thus far this year. About half of the June payroll job gain occurred in the services industry. Following 2 months of weakness, the increase of 114,000 in services was back in line with the average growth trend for the industry during the current -2- expansion. Within services, the largest increase was in amusements and recreation, where the number of jobs has increased by nearly 10 percent so far this year. Job growth also continued at a fairly brisk pace in engineering and management services. Employment picked up in health services, following 2 months of relatively slow growth. In contrast, there was only a modest job gain in business services. Gains in business services had been a major source of growth earlier in the expansion, but job growth in the industry has slowed since February. The number of jobs in its help supply component was about unchanged for the second straight month and was down by 57,000 since February. There were small increases elsewhere in the service- producing sector, including a pickup of 18,000 jobs in the transportation and public utilities division, primarily reflecting gains in trucking and air transportation. Relatively weak over-the-month increases occurred in both wholesale and retail trade. Construction employment also rose in June, following 2 months of job losses. Drier weather, relative to May, contributed to the June gain. On the negative side, factory employment continued to decline, with widespread losses totaling 104,000 over the past 3 months. Only the industrial machinery and electronics industries within manufacturing have continued to grow over this period. The factory workweek edged up by -3- a tenth of an hour in June, returning to the April level of 41.5 hours. Factory hours had declined by seven-tenths of an hour between January and April. Factory overtime continued to edge down in June and also is seven-tenths of an hour below its January level. Turning to the data from the household survey, the jobless rate was about unchanged at 5.6 percent, with no especially noteworthy changes in any of the major demographic groups. The number of unemployed persons stood at 7.4 million. In addition to those classified as unemployed, another 1.6 million persons (not seasonally adjusted) wanted a job and were available for work in June. These persons were not included among the unemployed, however, because, for any of a range of reasons, they were no longer actively looking for jobs. Of the 1.6 million, 364,000 were counted as discouraged workers, persons who gave up looking for work specifically because they believed their job prospects were poor. Those working part time involuntarily, another group experiencing job market problems, totaled 4.4 million in June (seasonally adjusted). In summary, the labor market appeared stronger in June than in the prior 2 months. The number of payroll jobs rose by 215,000, and the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 5.6 percent. Employment in construction and -4- services rose, but the number of factory jobs declined for the third month in a row. My colleagues and I now will be happy to answer any questions you may have.