TEXT FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.D.T. FRIDAY, OCTOBER 7, 1994 ___________________________________________________________ Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. ____________________________________________ Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics before the JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE UNITED STATES CONGRESS October 7, 1994 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I appreciate this opportunity to comment on the employment and unemployment data released earlier this morning. Payroll employment rose by 239,000 in September, about the same as in August (as revised). The unemployment rate, at 5.9 percent in September, declined over the month and has dropped 0.8 percentage point since January. As is typical, the services industry accounted for much of the employment growth over the month, adding 101,000 jobs in September. About half of this increase occurred in business services. Over the past year, employment in the -2- services industry has expanded by 1.6 million, making up half of total nonfarm job growth. Employment in retail trade also expanded in September with an increase of 40,000, and transportation and public utilities added 17,000 jobs. In State and local governments, factors contributing to an over-the-month employment increase of 63,000 included increases in State higher education to cope with rising enrollments and hiring of temporary election workers by local governments. In the goods-producing sector of the economy, construction employment resumed its upward trend in September with an increase of 19,000, after pausing in August. The industry has added 293,000 jobs over the past year, mostly among special trades contractors. In contrast, employment in manufacturing held steady in September, following an increase of 39,000 in the prior month. Since its most recent low point last September, manufacturing has expanded slowly, adding 147,000 jobs. The manufacturing workweek and overtime hours remained at very high levels in September, as production workers averaged 42.0 hours per week with 4.6 hours of overtime. Both the factory workweek and overtime hours have been at about these levels since early this year. Returning to the data from our survey of households, the unemployment rate moved down to 5.9 percent in September after holding at either 6.0 or 6.1 percent from May to -3- August. The improvement occurred primarily among adult men, whose jobless rate slipped to 5.1 percent. The jobless rate for white workers was 5.1 percent, compared to 10.7 percent for blacks and 10.2 percent for Hispanics. The number of unemployed persons declined to 7.7 million in September, with much of the decrease occurring among persons on temporary layoff who expected to be called back to work. About 800,000 persons were on temporary layoff in September, compared with some 2.8 million persons who had lost their jobs or completed temporary jobs and did not expect to be recalled by their employers. There were also 3.2 million unemployed persons who had either entered the job market for the first time or who had reentered after a period of absence, and about 900,000 persons who had voluntarily left their jobs to look for other employment. The number of workers on part-time schedules for economic reasons--persons employed part time even though they wanted (and were available for) full-time work--held at 4.3 million in September. There has been some gradual improvement in this measure in recent months. Since January, we have been collecting information on persons not in the labor force who want and are available for work and have looked for jobs sometime in the prior year. In September, this group totaled 1.9 million persons (not seasonally adjusted). The more familiar discouraged -4- worker group--which is a component of the larger category just described--totaled just over half a million. I would also like to note that the household survey showed an employment increase of about 460,000 in September, following an even larger increase in the prior month. This raises the net change in household employment since January to 1.7 million, which compares with an increase of about 2.4 million jobs over the January-September period registered by our survey of establishments. In summary, the labor market continued to improve in September, as employment rose in both of our surveys and unemployment declined. My colleagues and I now will be happy to answer any questions you may have.