FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.S.T. FRIDAY, JANUARY 7, 2000 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Standard Time. Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday, January 7, 2000 Good morning. I am pleased to have this opportunity to discuss the December employment and unemployment estimates that we released this morning. The unemployment rate was unchanged in December at 4.1 percent. The fourth quarter average, also 4.1 percent, was down from 4.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 1998. Nonfarm payroll employment, as measured by our establishment survey, expanded by 315,000 to 129.9 million in December, with 251,000 of these jobs added in the private sector. Over the past year, payroll employment rose by 2.7 million, or 2.1 percent. That compared to 2.9 million, or 2.4 percent, in 1998. Manufacturing employment was virtually unchanged in December. Following job losses averaging 36,000 per month in the first half of the year, and 10,000 per month in the third quarter, factory employment held steady in the fourth quarter. In December, the largest job gains were in food products (5,000) and rubber and miscellaneous plastics (4,000). Several industries continued their declining employment trends, including apparel (-5,000) and aircraft (- 4,000). The factory workweek was unchanged in December, at 41.7 hours, while factory overtime edged up by 0.1 hour to 4.7 hours. Employment in construction rose by 16,000 in December, as heavy construction added 12,000 jobs. Over the year, job gains in construction totaled 212,000. Mining employment edged up in December. The job count in mining stabilized during the second half of the year, after falling steadily during most of 1998 and the first half of 1999. The services industry added 109,000 jobs in December, slightly below the average monthly gain of 122,000 for the first 11 months of the year. A large employment increase in business services reflected continued strength in personnel supply and computer and data processing services. Engineering and management services had an above-average employment increase (23,000), as did health services (16,000). In contrast, amusements and recreation, agricultural services, and hotels all lost jobs. Retail trade employment rose by 65,000 in December, twice the average monthly gain for the first 11 months of 1999. Over-the-month job gains were registered in general merchandise stores (34,000), eating and drinking places (27,000), automobile dealers and service stations (10,000), furniture stores (8,000), and food stores (7,000). Job losses occurred in miscellaneous retail establishments (-16,000) and apparel stores (-8,000). Wholesale trade added 16,000 jobs in December, about average for the year. Employment in finance, insurance, and real estate increased by 12,000, its average monthly gain in 1999. Finance employment rose substantially, but both insurance and real estate employment were little changed. Transportation and public utilities added 32,000 jobs in December, twice the average for 1999 through November. Large job gains occurred in trucking and in air transportation. Average weekly hours of private production or nonsupervisory workers were unchanged at 34.5 hours. Average hourly earnings of private production or nonsupervisory workers rose by 6 cents in December to $13.46. Earnings rose by 11 cents in each of the last 2 quarters of the year, following increases of 13 cents in each of the first 2 quarters. Over the year, average hourly earnings rose by 3.7 percent, compared with an over-the-year increase of 3.8 percent for 1998. Turning now to the data from our survey of households, the unemployment rate was unchanged in December at 4.1 percent, and has remained under 4.4 percent since March. The rates for all of the major demographic groups (adult men, adult women, teenagers, whites, blacks, and Hispanics) have been fairly stable in recent months. Total civilian employment continued to rise, increasing by nearly 800,000 in the last 3 months of the year. The employment-population ratio edged up to 64.4 percent in December, matching its previous high. The number of persons who held more than one job in December totaled 8.0 million (not seasonally adjusted). These multiple jobholders made up 6.0 percent of the total employed, down slightly from 6.2 percent a year earlier. Before concluding, I would like to note that this is the month in which we update our seasonal adjustment factors and make revisions to previously published seasonally adjusted household survey estimates going back to January 1995. All of the seasonally adjusted household data in today’s news release reflect these revisions. In summary, the unemployment rate, which remained at a 30-year low of 4.1 percent in December, was down from its year-earlier level of 4.4 percent. Payroll employment rose over the month; the jobs count grew by 2.7 million, or 2.1 percent, over the past year, somewhat less than in the prior year. My colleagues and I now would be glad to respond to your questions.