FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.D.T. FRIDAY, APRIL 6, 2001 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time. Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday, April 6, 2001 Good morning. I appreciate this opportunity to comment on the labor market data we released this morning. The unemployment rate was 4.3 percent in March. It has edged up since its recent low of 3.9 percent in October of last year. Payroll employment declined by 86,000 in March. Significant developments included the continued employment declines in both manufacturing and help supply services, and another large over-the-month rise in average hourly earnings. Manufacturing employment declined by 81,000 in March. Factory job losses in the first 3 months of 2001 totaled 270,000, and followed a loss of 181,000 manufacturing jobs in the second half of last year. March declines occurred throughout manufacturing. Job declines in industrial machinery appear to have accelerated this year, and the electronic components industry sustained its second consecutive monthly job loss in March. Fabricated metals, auto manufacturing, and rubber and plastics also had sharp job declines. Only the aircraft industry has posted job gains in each of the last 2 months, but they barely offset a January decline. The manufacturing workweek did not decline further in March, although factory overtime continued to edge down. Over the last year, the factory workweek has dropped by 1.0 hour and factory overtime by 0.8 hour. Employment in the services industry edged up by just 11,000 in March. The unusually small net gain reflected the sharp decline of 83,000 in help supply services, an industry comprised largely of temporary help firms, which provide workers to other businesses, including those in manufacturing. In the 11 months since its peak last April, help supply employment has declined by nearly 300,000. Elsewhere in the services industry, strong job growth continued in health services and in computer and data processing services. Employment also rose in social, educational, and legal services. Engineering and management services continued to add jobs in March, although the pace of job gains thus far in 2001 has been far slower than in recent years. Retail trade employment declined by 46,000 in March, following combined gains in January and February of more than twice that amount. The March decline was concentrated in eating and drinking places and in department stores. Employment gains in the construction industry continued, with strength in highway construction and components of special trades. Since last October, employment gains in construction have averaged about 30,000 per month. In mining, oil and gas extraction has continued to post large employment gains. Reflecting the strong demand for mortgage refinancing associated with relatively low interest rates, employment grew in mortgage banking for the third consecutive month. Government employment was little changed in March, following strong job gains in the prior 2 months. Average hourly earnings rose 6 cents in March, following an even larger increase in February of 9 cents (as revised). Over the year, earnings were up by 4.3 percent. Prior to last November, over-the-year increases in hourly earnings had not strayed outside the 3.5- to 3.8-percent range for nearly 2 years. As I mentioned earlier, the unemployment rate was 4.3 percent in March, slightly above the narrow 3.9- to 4.1- percent range that held for all of 2000. In March, the rate for adult men rose to 3.8 percent, its highest level since mid-1998. The unemployment rate for blacks rose by 1.1 percentage point over the month to 8.6 percent, though we should bear in mind that this rate can be quite volatile. The unemployment rate for manufacturing workers increased by 0.5 percentage point in March, to 5.0 percent. Consistent with the employment decline in the industry since the middle of last year, the jobless rate for factory workers has risen by about a point and a half over the period. Another sign of labor market softness is the recent increase in the number of unemployed job losers who did not expect to be recalled to their jobs. Since the last quarter of 2000, this number has risen by more than 250,000, to nearly 1.9 million in the first quarter of this year. In summary, our March survey results provide further indication of weakness in the labor market. The unemployment rate was 4.3 percent, up a bit from the levels of late last year. Employment in manufacturing and help supply services declined sharply. Still, other industries continued to register job gains, including components of finance, mining, and construction and most industries within services. My colleagues and I would be glad to answer your questions.