FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.D.T. FRIDAY, MAY 8, 1998 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time. Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics before the Joint Economic Committee UNITED STATES CONGRESS Friday, May 8, 1998 Mr. Chairman and Members of the Committee: I would like to thank you for this opportunity to comment on the labor market data released this morning. Employment rose and unemployment fell sharply in April. Nonfarm payroll employment increased by 262,000, following essentially no change in March. The April increase is in line with the average monthly gain for the prior 12 months. The jobless rate dropped four-tenths of a percentage point to 4.3 percent. The unemployment rate had held fairly steady from November of last year through March. Nearly all of the net employment growth in April occurred in the service-producing sector of the economy, with the services industry alone adding 139,000 jobs. Business services payrolls grew by 60,000, mostly in help supply services and in computer and data processing. Over the past year, business services has added nearly half a million jobs. Engineering and management services added 19,000 jobs in April, sustaining the faster pace of job growth that started last spring. Employment in health services rose by 14,000; growth thus far in 1998 has been slightly below the trend exhibited in 1997. Elsewhere in the service-producing sector, retail trade employment rose by 44,000, more than making up for a modest decline in March. Even with the April increase, however, retail employment growth has been slow so far this year. The April increase was confined largely to eating and drinking places and department stores. The finance and real estate industries each added 12,000 jobs over the month, continuing a pattern of solid job expansion that is related to a buoyant stock market, low interest rates, and a strong housing market. Job growth continued, in particular, among security brokerages, mortgage banks and brokerages, and real estate firms. Employment in wholesale trade rose by 11,000 over the month, below the average monthly gain during the past year. The number of jobs in transportation and public utilities showed little change in April. In the goods-producing sector of the economy, construction employment rose by 35,000 in April after showing weather-related weakness in March. Since October of last year, the industry has added an average of about 30,000 jobs per month, twice the rate of job growth as in the 12 months prior to October. It is difficult, however, to separate the influence of strong housing demand from the effects of this year’s unusual winter weather patterns on the recent movements in construction employment. April job gains in the industry were concentrated in heavy construction and among special trade contractors. Manufacturing employment declined by 10,000 in April, its third month of weakness following a gain of 169,000 between September and January. April job losses were generally small, but widespread. Most of the weakness was in nondurable goods, with a notable job decline of 6,000 in apparel. In durable goods, small job losses occurred in electronic components and in industrial machinery, industries that had been adding workers at a fairly steady clip during 1997. Average weekly hours in manufacturing fell by 1.1 hours in April. Although much of this decline reflects the fact that the Easter weekend fell during the survey reference period, I would note that manufacturing hours have been drifting down since the beginning of this year, another indication of weakness in the industry. Average hourly earnings for all private production workers increased by 4 cents in April, and are up 4.4 percent over the year. Turning to data from our survey of households, the number of unemployed persons declined by 670,000 in April to 5.9 million and the unemployment rate fell by four-tenths of a percentage point to 4.3 percent. The major demographic groups generally shared in the improvement. Notably, the jobless rate for adult men dropped by half a percentage point to 3.4 percent, and the rate for teenagers fell nearly 2 percentage points, to 13.1 percent. Declines occurred over the month in the number of persons who were unemployed because they were on temporary layoff and among those who had left their jobs voluntarily to look for new ones. There also was a substantial drop in the number of persons who had been without work for 15 weeks or more. The number of persons employed part time even though they would have preferred full-time work also declined in April, to 3.7 million. Among those not in the labor force, the number of persons referred to as "marginally attached" to the labor market was 1.3 million (not seasonally adjusted) in April, down slightly from a year earlier. These are persons who indicate that they want a job and are available to take one, and have tested the job market in the past year. They are, however, not currently working or looking for work. The number of discouraged workers, a subset of this group who indicate that they have given up their search for work because they feel that there are no jobs available for them or none for which they would qualify, was 344,000 in April, about the same as a year earlier. Civilian employment rose by 389,000 in April. The proportion of the population age 16 years and older that is employed, at 64.2 percent in April, tied the record-high level first reached this past January. In summary, employment rose in April, although there was some weakness in manufacturing. Unemployment fell sharply after holding fairly steady for several months, but, as always, we should be cautious about putting too much weight on any one month's data. My colleagues and I would be glad to answer your questions. 3 5