Occupational employment projections: thje 1984-95 outlook, (EXCERPT), Monthly Labor Review Online, November 1985

Occupational employment projections:
the 1984-95 outlook

George T. Silvestri and John M. Lukasiewicz

According to the most recent projections of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, occupational employment growth trends over the 1984-95 period are expected to depart from the recent past for some broad occupational groups and for many detailed occupations. Some occupations, especially in the clerical group, are expected to slow their rate of growth considerably, while others, mainly blue-collar occupations, that grew in the past are expected to decline. These changes result from a projected slowing of total employment growth, from changes in industry growth trends, and from technological change affecting the occupational structure of industries. Many occupations that expanded rapidly from the early 1970's to the mid-1980's will still grow faster than average, although they are expected to have slower growth rates through the mid-1990's. Despite the slowing of total employment growth, from 23 percent to 15 percent, a few occupations are expected to grow faster over the 1984-95 period than over the previous 11 years.

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