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Spring 2003 Vol. 47, Number 1

The 1988-2000 employment projections: How accurate were they?

In the late 1980s, we projected future employment in scores of occupations for the 1988-2000 period. That future is now the past. See where we scored a hit, landed in the ballpark, and—now and then—swung and missed.


They've crunched the final numbers and analyzed each occupation. They’ve published the latest edition of the Occupational Outlook Handbook. Economists in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) employment projections program have wrapped up another set of projections; their work is done. Or is it?

The last phase of the projections process is evaluating the projections after actual data are available. And so, when employment data for 2000 became available, it was time to analyze the 1988-2000 employment projections—the basis for the 1990-91 Handbook.

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U.S. Department of Labor
Bureau of Labor Statistics

Last Updated: October 6, 2003