Job leavers not a good gauge of worker confidence
December 13, 2000
Although some use the number of unemployed who voluntarily left their last jobs as an indicator of workers' confidence in the labor market, one should question how appropriate that use is.
First and foremost, unemployed job leavers may not be a good indicator of total job leavers. The vast majority of job leavers may never pass through the interim stage of unemployment—it is likely that many wait until they have found another job before they jump. Others quit for quite different reasons: family obligations or dissatisfaction with their jobs, for example.
The use of the job leavers' share of total unemployment is an even more problematic barometer of workers' confidence. Because job leavers are such a small share of the unemployed—just 13.3 percent in 1999—any change in their share can largely reflect declines or increases in the other categories of unemployment. Job losers, in particular, make up the largest share of unemployment and are the most cyclically sensitive.
The data in this report are from the Current Population Survey. See Issues in Labor Statistics (Summary 00-17), "Unemployed Job Leavers: A Meaningful Gauge of Confidence in the Job Market?" (PDF 37K) for more information.
Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, The Economics Daily, Job leavers not a good gauge of worker confidence on the Internet at http://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2000/dec/wk2/art03.htm (visited October 01, 2014).
Three recent editions of Spotlight on Statistics
Housing: before, during, and after the Great Recession
looks at consumer expenditures on household items, employment in residential construction, prices for household items, and injuries in occupations involved in building and maintaining our homes.
Women veterans in the labor force examines the demographic, employment, and unemployment characteristics of women veterans.
BLS Statistics by Occupation provides an overview of occupational employment and wages with an emphasis on STEM jobs and occupational data by typical entry-level education required.