Internet:                       www.bls.gov/ro1/
USDL - 09 - 203
For release:
Thursday, July 8, 2009
INFORMATION: Bethany Rapoza (617) 565-2327
MEDIA CONTACT: Tim Consedine (617) 565-2324


NONFARM EMPLOYMENT IN THE NEW ENGLAND STATES: MARCH 2009

All of the New England states reported a decline in their nonfarm job totals from March 2008 to March 2009, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the U.S. Department of Labor. (See table A.) Regional Commissioner Denis M. McSweeney noted that in five of the six states, the job losses were statistically significant, with New Hampshire's decline being the one exception. Employment losses from March a year ago in the states ranged from 105,300 in Massachusetts to 10,700 in New Hampshire.


Table A. Total Nonfarm Payroll Employment in the United States and New England states, seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands)
State and area March March Net Change Mar. 2008 Percent Change Mar. 2008
2008 2009 to Mar. 2009 to Mar. 2009

United States

137,814 133,000 -4814 -3.5

Connecticut

1,709.4 1,652.2 -57 -3.3

Maine

619.5 602.1 -17 -2.8

Massachusetts

3,300.4 3,195.1 -105 -3.2

New Hampshire

647.2 636.5 -11 -1.7

Rhode Island

487.3 465.0 -22 -4.6

Vermont

307.9 295.0 -13 -4.2

Nationwide, employment was down over the year, dropping 3.5 percent from March 2008. Of the six New England states, two posted rates of decline faster than that of the nation over the year-Rhode Island and Vermont, down 4.6 and 4.2 percent, respectively. Percentage declines in the remaining states ranged from 3.3 percent in Connecticut to 1.7 percent in New Hampshire.


The Economic Downturn

While the official start of the national recession was December 20071, it should be noted that employment began its downward trend at various times in the New England states, starting as early as January 2007 in Rhode Island and as late as March 2008 in both Connecticut and Massachusetts. While no one month can represent the start of the recession in the six states, March was chosen for analytic purposes in this release since it was the month of peak employment in New England's two largest.

1 Start of the recession determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research

It is also important to note that by December 2007, five of the six New England states, the exception being Massachusetts, had fully recovered from the nation's previous downturn in 2001 as employment totals surpassed their previous peaks. The Commonwealth was never able to fully recoup the job losses suffered during the 2001 recessionary period before entering the current economic downturn. Total employment in Massachusetts reached a high of 3,300,400 in March 2008, 83,600 less than the previous peak attained in February 2001. In contrast, employment in Rhode Island quickly rebounded from its prior recessionary period to surpass its earlier employment peak by 14,300, reaching 496,400 in January 2007. However, since that time, total employment in the State has fallen to its lowest level since June 1999.


Chart A. Indexes of employment, selected New England states and United States, February 2001 - March 2009

Chart A. Indexes of employment, selected New England states and United States, February 2001 - March 2009


Industry employment

Though most industry sectors registered declines in employment throughout New England from March 2008 to March 2009, two had losses in every state-construction and manufacturing. In fact, five of the six states had percentage losses in construction that exceeded the U.S. industry average of 12.6 percent. Nationally, construction's employment losses were the sharpest of any industry sector. Conversely, one industry sector, education and health services, continued to add jobs over the year, nationally and in five of the six New England states, with the exception being Rhode Island where employment held steady but did not decline. Overall, job losses in New England were widespread and employment gains few in March 2009, following the nationwide trend.

In Massachusetts, professional and business services experienced the largest employment decline in March 2009, down 30,000, followed by trade, transportation, and utilities, down 23,000. Construction dropped 17,400 jobs, falling at a rate of 12.8 percent, highest of any industry sector in the Commonwealth. Manufacturing shed 15,000 jobs in March, making it the 26th consecutive month of losses in this industry. Employment in financial activities was down 12,400. Conversely, education and health services added 10,100 jobs from March a year ago.

In Connecticut, professional and business service dropped 16,000 jobs over the year, and construction, 14,900. The percentage decrease in jobs in construction, at 21.9 percent, was the highest in that industry across the six New England states. Other industries with annual employment losses in March 2009 included trade, transportation, and utilities (-12,900) and manufacturing (-11,300). Education and health services employment rose by 6,300 over the year.

In Rhode Island, job losses were widespread including manufacturing (-5,000), trade, transportation, and utilities (-4,600), construction (-3,700) and professional and business services (-3,400). No industry posted an employment gain from March 2008 to March 2009.

Each industry in Maine posted an employment loss over the year, with the exception of education and health services, which added 2,000 jobs. Trade, transportation, and utilities had the largest loss of jobs, down 5,400, followed by manufacturing (-4,500) and construction (-3,100).

In Vermont, manufacturing employment declined 4,300; trade; transportation, and utilities, 3,500; and construction, 3,100. The construction industry losses from March 2008 to March 2009 accounted for almost one-fifth of its jobs. Other industries losing at least 1,000 jobs included professional and business services, and leisure and hospitality. Only education and health service added jobs over the year, up 1,600.

Only three industry sectors in New Hampshire had employment declines of 1,000 or more in March 2009. Manufacturing had the largest losses, down 7,000, followed by construction (-3,400) and professional and business services (-2,200). The over-the-year percentage decreases in jobs in two of these three industries were smaller than their respective rates of decline nationally. Partially offsetting these job losses were gains in education and health services, up 2,300, and trade, transportation, and utilities, up 1,200.


Technical Note

This release presents nonfarm payroll employment estimates from the Current Employment Statistics (CES) program for the six New England states. The CES program is a Federal-State cooperative endeavor.


Employment

Definitions. Employment data refer to persons on establishment payrolls who receive pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Persons are counted at their place of work rather than at their place of residence; those appearing on more than one payroll are counted on each payroll. Industries are classified on the basis of their principal activity in accordance with the 2007 version of the North American Industry Classification System.

Method of estimation. The employment data are estimated using a "link relative" technique in which a ratio (link relative) of current-month employment to that of the previous month is computed from a sample of establishments reporting for both months. The estimates of employment for the current month are obtained by multiplying the estimates for the previous month by these ratios. Small-domain models are used as the official estimators for the approximately 39 percent of CES published series.

Annual revisions. Employment estimates are adjusted annually to a complete count of jobs, called benchmarks, derived principally from tax reports which are submitted by employers who are covered under state unemployment insurance (UI) laws. The benchmark information is used to adjust the monthly estimates between the new benchmark and the preceding one and also to establish the level of employment for the new benchmark month. Thus, the benchmarking process establishes the level of employment, and the sample is used to measure the month-to-month changes in the level for the subsequent months.



Reliability of the estimates

The estimates presented in this release are based on sample survey and administrative data and thus are subject to sampling and other types of errors. Sampling error is a measure of sampling variability--that is, variation that occurs by chance because a sample rather than the entire population is surveyed. Survey data are also subject to nonsampling errors, such as those which can be introduced into the data collection and processing operations. Estimates not directly derived from sample surveys are subject to additional errors resulting from the special estimation processes used. The sums of individual items may not always equal the totals shown in the same tables because of rounding.

Employment estimates. Measures of sampling error for state CES data at the NAICS supersector level became available during 2005, and the Bureau's press release of payroll employment estimates for all 50 states now incorporates statistical significance in the data analysis. For many of the New England states, however, over-the-month changes rarely meet rigorous statistical criteria. Consequently, in order to describe over-the-month and over-the-year changes, less formal methods of analysis were used. Information on recent benchmark revisions and sampling errors for states are available on the BLS Web site at www.bls.gov/sae/.

Additional information

For personal assistance or further information on the Current Employment Statistics program, as well as other Bureau programs, contact the New England Information Office at 617-565-2327 from 8:30 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. and 1:30 p.m. to 4:00 p.m. Information in this release will be made available to sensory impaired individuals upon request. Voice phone: 617-565-2072; Federal Relay Services: 1-800-877-8339.


Table 1. Employees on United States nonfarm payrolls by industry, seasonally adjusted (Numbers in thousands)
Industry March 2008 March 2009 Net Change Mar. 2008 to Mar. 2009 Percent Change Mar. 2008 to Mar. 2009

Total

137,814 133,000 -4814 -3.5

Mining and logging

756 754 -2 -0.3

Construction

7,401 6,470 -931 -12.6

Manufacturing

13,643 12,296 -1347 -9.9

Trade, transportation and utilities

26,629 25,479 -1150 -4.3

Information

3,023 2,905 -118 -3.9

Financial activities

8,204 7,857 -347 -4.2

Professional and business services

17,954 16,910 -1044 -5.8

Education and health services

18,698 19,158 460 2.5

Leisure and hospitality

13,528 13,202 -326 -2.4

Other services

5,537 5,426 -111 -2.0

Government

22,441 22,543 102 0.5


Table 2. Employees on nonfarm payrolls by industry, states in New England, seasonally adjusted (numbers in thousands)
Area and Industry
2008 2009 Change from
Mar. Mar. Mar. 2008 to
Mar. 2009
Number Percent
Connecticut

Total

1709.4 1652.2 -57.2 -3.3

Construction

68.1 53.2 -14.9 -21.9

Manufacturing

188.1 176.8 -11.3 -6.0

Trade, transportation, and utilities

312.8 299.9 -12.9 -4.1

Information

38.0 35.8 -2.2 -5.8

Financial activities

144.8 140.5 -4.3 -3.0

Professional and business services

207.9 191.9 -16.0 -7.7

Education and health services

295.1 301.4 6.3 2.1

Leisure and hospitality

137.7 137.4 -0.3 -0.2

Other services

63.7 63.9 0.2 0.3

Government

252.5 250.8 -1.7 -0.7
Maine

Total

619.5 602.1 -17.4 -2.8

Mining and logging

2.7 2.2 -0.5 -18.5

Construction

30.1 27.0 -3.1 -10.3

Manufacturing

59.4 54.9 -4.5 -7.6

Trade, transportation, and utilities

125.9 120.5 -5.4 -4.3

Financial activities

32.8 31.8 -1.0 -3.0

Professional and business services

56.5 55.6 -0.9 -1.6

Education and health services

117.0 119.0 2.0 1.7

Leisure and hospitality

59.9 57.9 -2.0 -3.3

Other services

20.0 19.5 -0.5 -2.5

Government

104.4 103.5 -0.9 -0.9
Massachusetts

Total

3300.4 3195.1 -105.3 -3.2

Construction

136.3 118.9 -17.4 -12.8

Manufacturing

289.2 274.2 -15.0 -5.2

Trade, transportation, and utilities

571.9 548.9 -23.0 -4.0

Information

89.6 84.5 -5.1 -5.7

Financial activities

222.5 210.1 -12.4 -5.6

Professional and business services

489.4 459.4 -30.0 -6.1

Education and health services

636.6 646.7 10.1 1.6

Leisure and hospitality

306.8 297.4 -9.4 -3.1

Other services

120.8 117.0 -3.8 -3.1

Government

436.1 437.0 0.9 0.2
New Hampshire

Total

647.2 636.5 -10.7 -1.7

Construction

26.7 23.3 -3.4 -12.7

Manufacturing

76.9 69.9 -7.0 -9.1

Trade, transportation, and utilities

140.6 141.8 1.2 0.9

Information

12.6 12.1 -0.5 -4.0

Financial activities

38.2 37.8 -0.4 -1.0

Professional and business services

66.6 64.4 -2.2 -3.3

Education and health services

104.1 106.4 2.3 2.2

Leisure and hospitality

64.0 63.0 -1.0 -1.6

Other services

22.1 22.3 0.2 0.9

Government

94.4 94.7 0.3 0.3
Rhode Island

Total

487.3 465.0 -22.3 -4.6

Construction

21.3 17.6 -3.7 -17.4

Manufacturing

49.1 44.1 -5.0 -10.2

Trade, transportation, and utilities

78.5 73.9 -4.6 -5.9

Financial activities

33.7 32.3 -1.4 -4.2

Professional and business services

55.3 51.9 -3.4 -6.1

Education and health services

100.0 99.9 -0.1 -0.1

Leisure and hospitality

51.3 50.7 -0.6 -1.2

Other services

22.9 22.1 -0.8 -3.5

Government

64.1 62.1 -2.0 -3.1
Vermont

Total

307.9 295.0 -12.9 -4.2

Construction

15.9 12.8 -3.1 -19.5

Manufacturing

35.5 31.2 -4.3 -12.1

Trade, transportation, and utilities

59.4 55.9 -3.5 -5.9

Financial activities

12.9 12.6 -0.3 -2.3

Professional and business services

22.3 20.8 -1.5 -6.7

Education and health services

58.4 60.0 1.6 2.7

Leisure and hospitality

32.9 31.6 -1.3 -4.0

Other services

9.9 9.5 -0.4 -4.0

Government

53.9 53.9 0.0 0.0

(NOTE: Data are counts of jobs by place of work. Data have been revised to reflect 2008 benchmarks and updated seasonal adjustment factors. Seasonally adjusted data from January 2005 for most states are subject to revision. Estimates subsequent to the current benchmark are provisional and will be revised when new information becomes available. 'Total' can include industries not shown separately. The industries shown meet Bureau standards for seasonal adjustment.

 

Last Modified Date: July 24, 2009