FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.D.T. FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 3, 1999 Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time. Statement of Katharine G. Abraham Commissioner Bureau of Labor Statistics Friday, September 3, 1999 Good morning. I am pleased to have this opportunity to discuss the August employment and unemployment estimates that we released this morning. The unemployment rate, at 4.2 percent in August, was little changed over the month, and has been either 4.2 or 4.3 percent each month since March. Nonfarm payroll employment, as measured by our establishment survey, rose a modest 124,000 in August, following a strong increase of 338,000 in July. Over these 2 months, job growth averaged 231,000, compared with an average monthly increase of 210,000 for the first half of 1999. In August, job losses in the goods-producing sector of the economy totaled 95,000. Manufacturing employment declined by 63,000 (after seasonal adjustment). This followed an increase of 51,000 in July, as revised. The August loss would have been 7,000 larger if not for the return of workers to the shipbuilding industry following the settlement of a strike that began several months earlier. Although manufacturing employment fell by 19,000 between June and August, after accounting for the strike return, the pace of manufacturing jobs losses has been much slower over the past 2 months than during the first half of the year. In durable goods, substantial August employment declines in several industries reversed or partially reversed July employment gains. Industrial machinery, fabricated metals, instruments and related products, and stone, clay, and glass products experienced net employment losses over the 2 months (although only the loss in industrial machinery was substantial). Among the industries showing net employment gains over the period were motor vehicles, electrical equipment, furniture, and primary metals. In nondurable goods, employment declines continued in apparel and textiles. The factory workweek edged down in August to 41.7 hours, returning to its June level. Factory overtime also edged down in August, to 4.6 hours. Employment in construction declined by 29,000 in August, largely offsetting the gains of the prior 2 months. Mining employment fell, following an increase in July. Within mining, however, oil and gas extraction posted its second consecutive monthly gain. In the service-producing sector, job growth of 219,000 (after seasonal adjustment) was slightly below the monthly average of the prior 12 months (247,000). In the services industry, the recent pattern of alternating weak and strong job growth continued in August. The industry added 132,000 jobs over the month, well above the gain of 78,000 in July. In August, business services employment expanded by 46,000, with computer and data processing services accounting for a third of the increase. Following no growth in July, employment in amusement and recreation services rose by 17,000, after seasonal adjustment. Job growth in health services totaled 19,000 in August, with the largest gains coming in doctors’ offices and in hospitals. Strong employment increases in both social and legal services more than offset declines in July. Job growth continued in engineering and management services, but the increase of 10,000 was only half its recent monthly average. Retail trade employment was about unchanged in August. An employment decline of 38,000 in eating and drinking places followed a large gain of 74,000 in July. Elsewhere in retail trade, employment in food stores was up 11,000 over the month, but the industry has had virtually no net job growth in 2 years. Automobile dealers and furniture stores each added 8,000 jobs in August, employment in general merchandise stores was up only slightly, and employment in apparel stores was down. Elsewhere in the services-producing sector, employment in finance, insurance, and real estate rose by 11,000. Finance employment increased by 8,000 over the month, with strong job growth continuing in securities brokerages. Employment growth in both insurance and real estate was somewhat sluggish. Transportation job growth slowed in August, and substantial employment gains continued in wholesale trade. Government added 47,000 workers, after seasonal adjustment, mostly in state and local education. Average hourly earnings of private production or nonsupervisory workers edged up 2 cents in August to $13.30, following a rise of 10 cents over the prior 2 months. Over the year, average hourly earnings have risen by 3.5 percent. Turning now to the data from our survey of households, the unemployment rate was little changed at 4.2 percent in August and has remained under 4.4 percent since March. Following a 1-1/2 percentage point rise in July, the rate for blacks fell back a point to 7.8 percent in August. The rate for adult women fell to 3.7 percent. The rates for the other major demographic groups were either unchanged or little changed from July. Civilian employment was about unchanged over the month, and the employment-population ratio held steady at 64.1 percent. The number of persons who held more than one job in August totaled 7.3 million (not seasonally adjusted). These multiple jobholders made up 5.4 percent of the total employed, down slightly from 5.6 percent a year earlier. In summary, payroll employment rose by 124,000 over the month, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 4.2 percent. My colleagues and I now would be glad to answer your questions. 5 5