Maturity horizon (years) | Percentage of overestimates | Percentage of underestimates |
---|---|---|
0.5 |
34.29 | 65.71 |
1.0 |
30.77 | 69.23 |
1.5 |
38.65 | 61.35 |
2.0 |
36.94 | 63.06 |
2.5 |
43.71 | 56.29 |
3.0 |
47.59 | 52.41 |
3.5 |
51.08 | 48.92 |
4.0 |
56.39 | 43.61 |
4.5 |
52.76 | 47.24 |
5.0 |
57.85 | 42.15 |
5.5 |
59.13 | 40.87 |
6.0 |
62.39 | 37.61 |
6.5 |
62.14 | 37.86 |
7.0 |
65.98 | 34.02 |
7.5 |
69.23 | 30.77 |
8.0 |
70.59 | 29.41 |
8.5 |
69.62 | 30.38 |
9.0 |
75.34 | 24.66 |
9.5 |
80.60 | 19.40 |
10.0 |
85.25 | 14.75 |
10.5 |
83.64 | 16.36 |
11.0 |
85.71 | 14.29 |
11.5 |
86.05 | 13.95 |
12.0 |
89.19 | 10.81 |
12.5 |
87.10 | 12.90 |
13.0 |
88.00 | 12.00 |
13.5 |
89.47 | 10.53 |
14.0 |
84.62 | 15.38 |
14.5 |
71.43 | 28.57 |
15.0 |
100.00 | 0.00 |
Note: TBI = Treasury Breakeven Inflation; CPI-U = Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and U.S. Department of the Treasury. |