Chart 1. Example of an extremely well replicated U.S. Import and Export Price Index, 2012–22
Month Calculated index Official index

January 2012

100.00 100.00

February 2012

99.61 99.60

March 2012

102.17 102.18

April 2012

102.43 102.41

May 2012

101.74 102.18

June 2012

92.50 92.92

July 2012

111.42 111.47

August 2012

123.43 123.48

September 2012

120.35 120.40

October 2012

116.84 116.87

November 2012

115.77 115.74

December 2012

117.96 117.89

January 2013

107.81 107.87

February 2013

113.62 113.62

March 2013

111.65 111.67

April 2013

102.20 102.28

May 2013

104.85 104.83

June 2013

107.47 107.28

July 2013

103.76 103.57

August 2013

88.28 88.19

September 2013

85.44 85.35

October 2013

74.15 74.07

November 2013

72.91 72.85

December 2013

73.52 73.48

January 2014

72.74 72.65

February 2014

75.36 75.26

March 2014

80.97 80.85

April 2014

82.87 82.64

May 2014

82.50 82.18

June 2014

75.72 75.36

July 2014

69.97 69.68

August 2014

65.44 65.18

September 2014

62.72 62.57

October 2014

58.79 58.66

November 2014

64.87 64.68

December 2014

64.75 64.58

January 2015

65.53 65.28

February 2015

63.42 63.16

March 2015

64.15 63.89

April 2015

63.52 63.26

May 2015

61.44 61.24

June 2015

60.06 59.89

July 2015

68.04 67.82

August 2015

60.40 60.12

September 2015

59.12 58.83

October 2015

62.63 62.80

November 2015

62.01 62.20

December 2015

59.44 59.59

January 2016

57.74 57.47

February 2016

60.56 60.32

March 2016

57.38 57.18

April 2016

57.35 57.31

May 2016

61.49 61.47

June 2016

65.28 65.18

July 2016

59.51 59.06

August 2016

57.25 57.04

September 2016

54.74 54.56

October 2016

56.04 56.02

November 2016

56.91 56.85

December 2016

55.50 55.49

January 2017

57.92 57.94

February 2017

59.39 59.39

March 2017

60.85 60.88

April 2017

57.79 57.57

May 2017

57.94 57.71

June 2017

58.30 58.07

July 2017

58.73 58.50

August 2017

55.57 55.36

September 2017

53.29 53.11

October 2017

54.09 54.33

November 2017

54.62 54.89

December 2017

54.98 55.19

January 2018

55.89 56.32

February 2018

60.19 60.65

March 2018

62.28 62.73

April 2018

62.39 62.83

May 2018

65.21 65.67

June 2018

63.03 63.49

July 2018

57.27 57.67

August 2018

59.14 59.66

September 2018

57.88 58.40

October 2018

57.45 57.90

November 2018

58.65 59.13

December 2018

59.80 60.28

January 2019

59.35 [1]

February 2019

61.56 61.54

March 2019

61.28 61.14

April 2019

59.59 59.46

May 2019

59.08 58.96

June 2019

67.79 67.69

July 2019

68.53 68.42

August 2019

63.87 63.79

September 2019

56.45 56.35

October 2019

60.94 60.85

November 2019

62.07 61.97

December 2019

61.57 61.47

January 2020

62.88 62.80

February 2020

62.77 62.67

March 2020

62.31 62.30

April 2020

55.57 55.52

May 2020

51.99 52.08

June 2020

54.32 54.33

July 2020

57.25 57.28

August 2020

52.95 52.94

September 2020

58.99 58.99

October 2020

63.68 63.69

November 2020

68.59 68.62

December 2020

69.87 69.91

January 2021

80.54 80.59

February 2021

88.42 88.49

March 2021

88.30 87.47

April 2021

89.68 88.82

May 2021

116.23 115.15

June 2021

109.09 107.80

July 2021

106.95 106.02

August 2021

100.61 99.74

September 2021

88.12 87.47

October 2021

89.43 88.72

November 2021

92.00 91.27

December 2021

93.86 92.63

January 2022

98.53 97.16

February 2022

102.90 101.32

March 2022

117.69 115.31

April 2022

122.53 119.68

May 2022

128.24 125.30

June 2022

119.02 117.63

July 2022

117.95 116.47

August 2022

111.35 110.25

September 2022

111.51 110.42

October 2022

113.22 112.14

November 2022

120.48 119.28

December 2022

107.97 106.75

[1] This index was not published in January 2019 because the data source was not available due to the government shutdown.

Note: An extremely well replicated index is one that has a correlation coefficient above 0.85, a root-mean-square error less than 2.0, and a mean absolute error less than 1.0 when comparing the short-term relatives of the calculated to the official index. A well-replicated index is one that has a correlation coefficient above 0.2, a root-mean-square error below 5.0, and a mean absolute error less than 2.0. All other indexes are considered not well replicated.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.