Chart 2. Example of a well-replicated U.S. Import and Export Price Index, 2012–22
Month Calculated index Official index

January 2012

100.00 100.00

February 2012

104.68 102.47

March 2012

103.84 107.30

April 2012

104.56 110.66

May 2012

100.34 104.12

June 2012

100.80 93.58

July 2012

101.52 94.76

August 2012

105.59 100.41

September 2012

99.59 106.45

October 2012

98.18 106.69

November 2012

109.43 98.11

December 2012

110.71 97.64

January 2013

108.99 98.88

February 2013

104.81 103.92

March 2013

104.63 103.53

April 2013

111.68 98.97

May 2013

115.92 95.82

June 2013

121.44 96.20

July 2013

120.44 98.97

August 2013

114.20 102.06

September 2013

112.96 103.65

October 2013

112.43 97.73

November 2013

105.16 99.62

December 2013

107.33 105.18

January 2014

107.55 104.57

February 2014

109.53 106.42

March 2014

112.07 108.78

April 2014

108.11 99.88

May 2014

108.69 100.41

June 2014

106.51 98.26

July 2014

107.88 99.47

August 2014

104.89 96.85

September 2014

104.20 96.52

October 2014

97.40 90.66

November 2014

88.96 83.06

December 2014

76.46 72.78

January 2015

61.22 58.32

February 2015

64.57 62.44

March 2015

67.46 65.51

April 2015

63.22 61.03

May 2015

69.58 67.51

June 2015

67.30 67.39

July 2015

64.75 65.13

August 2015

57.09 58.03

September 2015

53.98 54.70

October 2015

53.39 54.23

November 2015

51.73 52.40

December 2015

45.66 46.36

January 2016

41.15 41.27

February 2016

38.72 38.32

March 2016

40.42 39.35

April 2016

41.40 41.27

May 2016

46.97 46.95

June 2016

51.26 52.81

July 2016

48.93 50.99

August 2016

45.55 47.86

September 2016

48.74 51.55

October 2016

53.00 55.38

November 2016

50.74 53.64

December 2016

52.93 55.99

January 2017

54.35 57.11

February 2017

53.80 55.73

March 2017

52.54 54.82

April 2017

54.09 56.94

May 2017

50.54 52.84

June 2017

51.13 53.37

July 2017

50.49 52.99

August 2017

55.31 58.35

September 2017

60.58 63.30

October 2017

57.66 59.88

November 2017

61.67 63.71

December 2017

60.81 62.44

January 2018

64.28 66.39

February 2018

64.46 66.69

March 2018

63.04 64.62

April 2018

65.80 67.54

May 2018

70.24 71.84

June 2018

69.42 71.99

July 2018

70.49 73.05

August 2018

69.92 72.64

September 2018

71.14 73.37

October 2018

76.28 78.17

November 2018

66.60 70.04

December 2018

57.51 60.62

January 2019

55.39 58.94

February 2019

60.29 62.33

March 2019

64.59 66.92

April 2019

66.79 69.31

May 2019

67.13 69.69

June 2019

60.64 63.98

July 2019

63.32 66.51

August 2019

60.49 64.18

September 2019

59.96 63.56

October 2019

60.71 64.30

November 2019

62.57 64.62

December 2019

60.09 63.48

January 2020

63.29 66.42

February 2020

53.47 58.47

March 2020

51.75 55.79

April 2020

33.54 35.91

May 2020

30.06 34.64

June 2020

39.23 42.03

July 2020

41.28 44.59

August 2020

41.39 44.39

September 2020

40.97 44.89

October 2020

40.25 43.95

November 2020

40.43 43.21

December 2020

45.67 48.57

January 2021

50.74 53.49

February 2021

55.20 58.56

March 2021

61.36 65.95

April 2021

60.12 65.13

May 2021

65.11 69.96

June 2021

68.16 72.28

July 2021

69.52 73.78

August 2021

67.46 73.02

September 2021

69.13 74.17

October 2021

76.56 81.27

November 2021

75.48 82.03

December 2021

67.61 73.08

January 2022

75.76 82.30

February 2022

87.60 94.99

March 2022

111.24 117.03

April 2022

108.98 114.70

May 2022

134.86 134.43

June 2022

131.89 140.35

July 2022

112.38 122.06

August 2022

101.20 105.98

September 2022

107.79 105.21

October 2022

115.86 116.14

November 2022

116.26 113.61

December 2022

86.04 89.69

Note: An extremely well replicated index is one that has a correlation coefficient above 0.85, a root-mean-square error less than 2.0, and a mean absolute error less than 1.0 when comparing the short-term relatives of the calculated to the official index. A well-replicated index is one that has a correlation coefficient above 0.2, a root-mean-square error below 5.0, and a mean absolute error less than 2.0. All other indexes are considered not well replicated.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.