An official website of the United States government
Transmission of material in this statement is embargoed until
8:30 a.m. (ET) February 5, 2021.
Statement of
William W. Beach
Commissioner
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Friday, February 5, 2021
The unemployment rate fell by 0.4 percentage point to 6.3
percent in January, and nonfarm payroll employment changed
little (+49,000). The labor market continued to be impacted by
the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and efforts to contain it.
Notable job gains in professional and business services and in
both public and private education were offset by losses in
leisure and hospitality, in retail trade, in health care, and in
transportation and warehousing.
Substantial job losses related to the coronavirus pandemic
first occurred in March (-1.7 million) and April (-20.7 million)
of 2020. As economic activity resumed, employment increased by
12.6 million from May through November but declined again in
December (-227,000) following a surge in the number of
coronavirus cases. In January, nonfarm employment changed little
(+49,000) and was below its February 2020 level by 9.9 million,
or 6.5 percent.
The response rate for the establishment survey was slightly
below average in January. The rate for the household survey,
while slightly below normal due to pandemic-related issues, was
much higher than earlier in the pandemic. The impact of the
pandemic on the household and establishment surveys is detailed
in the January Employment Situation news release and
accompanying materials (available on the BLS website at
www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_02052021.htm).
Taking a closer look at the January payroll data,
employment in professional and business services increased by
97,000 over the month, led by a gain of 81,000 in temporary help
services. Smaller job gains occurred in management and
consulting services (+16,000), computer systems design
(+11,000), and scientific research services (+10,000). These
gains were partially offset by losses in services to buildings
and dwellings (-14,000) and in advertising (-6,000). Employment
in professional and business services has risen by 1.6 million
since a recent low in April but remains 825,000 below its
February level.
In January, employment increased in local government
education (+49,000), state government education (+36,000), and
private education (+34,000). In both public and private
education, pandemic-related employment declines in 2020
distorted the normal seasonal buildup and layoff patterns. This
likely contributed to the job gains in January (after seasonal
adjustment).
Wholesale trade continued to add jobs in January (+14,000).
Since April, employment in the industry has risen by 146,000.
However, it is 263,000 lower than it was in February.
In January, mining added 9,000 jobs, mostly in support
activities for mining (+8,000). Mining employment is down by
133,000 since a recent peak in January 2019, though employment
in the industry showed little change for several months prior to
the uptick in January.
Leisure and hospitality lost 61,000 jobs in January,
following a large loss of 536,000 jobs in December. Employment
in accommodation edged down in January (-18,000). After
declining by 402,000 in December, employment in food services
and drinking places changed little in January (-19,000).
Employment in leisure and hospitality fell by 8.2 million during
March and April, increased by 4.9 million from May to November,
and then declined by 597,000 over the past 2 months.
In January, retail trade lost 38,000 jobs, following a gain
of 135,000 jobs in December. Over the month, job losses occurred
in general merchandising stores (-38,000), electronics and
appliance stores (-29,000), and nonstore retailers (-15,000). By
contrast, employment rose in food and beverage stores (+15,000),
clothing and accessories stores (+15,000), and health and
personal care stores (+14,000). Since February, employment in
retail trade is down by 383,000.
Health care employment declined by 30,000 over the month.
Nursing care facilities (-19,000) and community care facilities
for the elderly (-7,000) continued to lose jobs in January.
Employment also declined in home health care services (-13,000).
Health care employment is 542,000 lower than its February level.
In January, transportation and warehousing lost 28,000
jobs, including a loss of 17,000 in warehousing and storage.
Couriers and messengers lost 14,000 jobs in January and 31,000
jobs in December, following an unusually large job gain in
November (+72,000). Employment in air transportation increased
by 15,000 in January but is down by 105,000 since February.
Employment in manufacturing changed little in January
(-10,000), with a decline of 17,000 in durable goods industries.
Manufacturing employment has increased by 803,000 since April
but is down by 582,000 since February, before the onset of the
pandemic.
Construction employment changed little in January (-3,000),
after increasing for 8 consecutive months. However, employment
in the industry is down by 256,000 since February.
Employment in other major industries--including
information, financial activities, and other services--showed
little change over the month.
Average weekly hours for all private-sector workers
increased by 0.3 hour in January to 35.0 hours. The average
workweek for manufacturing increased by 0.3 hour to 40.4 hours.
Average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm
payrolls increased by 6 cents to $29.96 in January, following an
increase of 29 cents in December. One should continue to use
caution when interpreting changes in average weekly hours and
average hourly earnings during the pandemic, as large shifts in
the industry composition of employment can complicate monthly
comparisons.
Turning to the labor market indicators from the household
survey, the unemployment rate fell by 0.4 percentage point to
6.3 percent in January, and the number of unemployed people
declined to 10.1 million. Both measures have fallen from their
recent peaks in April 2020 but remain well above their February
2020 levels (3.5 percent and 5.7 million, respectively).
Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates
decreased in January for adult men (6.0 percent), adult women
(6.0 percent), Whites (5.7 percent), and Hispanics (8.6
percent). The jobless rates for teenagers (14.8 percent), Blacks
(9.2 percent), and Asians (6.6 percent) showed little change.
Among the unemployed, the number of people on temporary
layoff decreased to 2.7 million in January and is down
considerably from the high of 18.0 million in April. At 3.5
million, the number of permanent job losers changed little in
January but is up by 2.2 million since February. The number of
reentrants--people who previously worked but were not in the
labor force prior to beginning their job search--declined to 2.0
million in January.
By duration of unemployment, the number of people searching
for work for less than 5 weeks decreased over the month to 2.3
million. The number of people searching for work for 27 weeks or
more (often referred to as the long-term unemployed), at 4.0
million, was about unchanged over the month but is up by 2.9
million since February. In January, the long-term unemployed
accounted for 39.5 percent of the unemployed.
Both the labor force participation rate and the employment-
population ratio changed little over the month, at 61.4 percent
and 57.5 percent, respectively. Since February, the
participation rate is down by 1.9 percentage points, and the
employment-population ratio is down by 3.6 percentage points.
In January, 6.0 million people were working part time for
economic reasons (also referred to as involuntary part-time
workers), little changed from the previous month. The number of
people affected by this type of underemployment is 1.6 million
higher than in February.
At 7.0 million, the number of people not in the labor force
who currently want a job edged down in January. Among those who
were not in the labor force but wanted a job, the number of
people marginally attached to the labor force declined to 1.9
million. (People who are marginally attached to the labor force
had not actively looked for work in the 4 weeks prior to the
survey but had looked for a job within the last 12 months.) The
number of discouraged workers, a subset of the marginally
attached who believed that no jobs were available for them, at
624,000, was essentially unchanged over the month.
Since March 2020, household survey interviewers have been
instructed to classify employed people absent from work due to
temporary, coronavirus-related business closures or cutbacks as
unemployed on temporary layoff.
As in previous months, some workers affected by the
pandemic who should have been classified as unemployed on
temporary layoff in January were instead misclassified as
employed but not at work. However, the share of responses that
may have been misclassified was considerably smaller in recent
months than at the onset of the pandemic.
For March through December, BLS published an estimate of
what the unemployment rate would have been had misclassified
workers been included among the unemployed. Repeating this same
approach, the seasonally adjusted January unemployment rate
would have been 0.6 percentage point higher than reported.
However, this represents the upper bound of our estimate of
misclassification and probably overstates the size of the
misclassification error. Additional information is available on
the BLS website at www.bls.gov/covid19/employment-situation-
covid19-faq-january-2021.htm.
Looking at supplemental pandemic-related measures from the
household survey (these supplemental data are not seasonally
adjusted), the share of employed people who teleworked in
January because of the coronavirus pandemic edged down to 23.2
percent. These data refer to employed people who teleworked or
worked at home for pay at some point in the last 4 weeks
specifically because of the pandemic.
In January, the number of people who reported that they had
been unable to work because their employer closed or lost
business due to the pandemic--that is, they did not work at all
or worked fewer hours at some point in the last 4 weeks due to
the pandemic--decreased to 14.8 million. Among those who
reported in January that they were unable to work because of
pandemic-related closures or lost business, 12.7 percent
received at least some pay from their employer for the hours not
worked, little changed from December.
Among those not in the labor force in January, 4.7 million
people were prevented from looking for work due to the pandemic,
little changed from December. (To be counted as unemployed, by
definition, individuals must either be actively searching for
work or on temporary layoff.)
Following our usual practice, there were routine annual
adjustments to the data from our two surveys. The establishment
survey data released today reflect the incorporation of annual
benchmark revisions. Each year, we re-anchor our sample-based
survey estimates to full universe counts of employment,
primarily derived from the Quarterly Census of Employment and
Wages, which counts jobs covered by the unemployment insurance
tax system. Payroll employment for March 2020 was revised
downward by 250,000 (on a not seasonally adjusted
basis, -121,000 or -0.1 percent). Not seasonally adjusted, the
average benchmark revision over the past 10 years was plus or
minus 0.2 percent. (Additional information about the benchmark
revision and its impact is contained in our news release and on
our website at www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesbmart.htm.)
Household survey data for January reflect updated
population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau. Again this
year, the impact of the new population controls on the
unemployment rate and other ratios was negligible. (Further
information can be found in our news release and on our website
at www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cps-pop-control-adjustments.pdf.)
In summary, the unemployment rate fell to 6.3 percent in
January, and total nonfarm payroll employment changed little
(+49,000).