An official website of the United States government
Advance copies of this statement are made available to the press
under lock-up conditions with the explicit understanding that
the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time.
Statement of
William W. Beach
Commissioner
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Friday, April 3, 2020
Nonfarm payroll employment declined by 701,000 in March,
and the unemployment rate increased to 4.4 percent, reflecting
the broad impact on the job market of the coronavirus (COVID-19)
and efforts to contain the illness. Employment fell by 459,000
in the leisure and hospitality industry, mainly in food services
and drinking places. Notable employment decreases also occurred
in health care and social assistance, professional and business
services, retail trade, and construction.
It is important to keep in mind that the March survey
reference periods for the establishment and household surveys
(the pay period or week, respectively, that includes the 12th of
the month) predated many business and school closures that
occurred in the second half of the month. In addition, data
collection for the two surveys was affected by the coronavirus.
Although response rates for both surveys were adversely affected
by pandemic-related issues, we still were able to obtain
estimates from our two surveys that met BLS standards for
accuracy and reliability.
Incorporating revisions for January and February, which
decreased payroll employment by 57,000 on net, job gains
averaged 245,000 in the first 2 months of 2020 before the
substantial coronavirus-related decline in March.
Within the leisure and hospitality industry, employment
fell by 417,000 in food services and drinking places in March,
as many restaurants and bars cut back operations. This
employment decline nearly offset the gains over the prior 2
years. Elsewhere in leisure and hospitality, the accommodation
industry lost 29,000 jobs in March.
Employment declined by 61,000 in health care and social
assistance in March. Health care employment declined by 43,000,
with losses occurring in offices of dentists (-17,000), offices
of physicians (-12,000), and offices of other health
practitioners (-7,000). From February 2019 to February 2020,
health care added jobs each month, with an average monthly gain
of 31,000. Employment in social assistance decreased by 19,000
in March, reflecting a job loss in child day care services
(-19,000).
Professional and business services lost 52,000 jobs in
March, with the decline concentrated in temporary help services
(-50,000). Employment also declined in travel arrangement and
reservation services (-7,000).
Employment in retail trade decreased by 46,000 over the
month, with job losses occurring in clothing stores (-16,000);
furniture stores (-10,000); and sporting goods, hobby, book, and
music stores (-9,000). By contrast, employment increased in
general merchandise stores (+10,000).
After an average monthly employment increase of 40,000
in January and February, construction employment declined by
29,000 in March. Job losses occurred in nonresidential building
(-11,000) and in heavy and civil engineering construction
(-10,000).
Employment in the other services industry declined by
24,000 in March, with about half of the loss occurring in
personal and laundry services (-13,000). Over the prior 12
months, other services had added 89,000 jobs.
Mining employment decreased by 6,000 in March, mostly in
support activities for mining. Since a peak in January 2019,
mining has lost 42,000 jobs.
Manufacturing employment edged down in March (-18,000).
Over the past year, manufacturing employment has changed little
on net.
Federal government employment rose by 18,000 in March. The
gain largely reflects the hiring of 17,000 temporary workers for
the 2020 Census.
Employment in other major industries--including wholesale
trade, transportation and warehousing, information, and
financial activities--showed little change in March.
Average weekly hours decreased by 0.2 hour in March for all
private-sector workers, also reflecting the impact of the
coronavirus. The decline in the average workweek was most
pronounced in the leisure and hospitality industry, where
average weekly hours dropped by 1.4 hours over the month.
Average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm
payrolls rose by 11 cents in March to $28.62, following a gain
of 8 cents in February. Over the past 12 months, average hourly
earnings have risen by 3.1 percent. From February 2019 to
February 2020, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers
(CPI-U) increased by 2.3 percent (on a seasonally adjusted
basis).
Turning to the labor market indicators from the household
survey, the unemployment rate increased by 0.9 percentage point
to 4.4 percent in March, and the number of unemployed people
increased by 1.4 million to 7.1 million. The increase in the
unemployment rate was the largest single-month change since
January 1975, when it also increased by 0.9 percentage point.
The bulk of the increase in unemployment occurred among people
on temporary layoff, which increased by 1.0 million in March to
1.8 million.
Among the unemployed, the number of people searching for
work for less than 5 weeks was 3.5 million, an increase of 1.5
million from February. These recently unemployed people
represented nearly half (48.5 percent) of the unemployed in
March. The number of people searching for work for 27 weeks or
more was little changed at 1.2 million. These long-term
unemployed accounted for 15.9 percent of the unemployed.
The labor force participation rate declined by 0.7
percentage point in March to 62.7 percent. The employment-
population ratio fell by 1.1 percentage points over the month to
60.0 percent.
In March, 5.8 million people were working part time for
economic reasons (also referred to as involuntary part-time
workers), 1.4 million more than in February. Most of this
increase was among people whose hours were cut due to slack work
or business conditions.
Among those neither working nor looking for work in March,
1.4 million were considered marginally attached to the labor
force, essentially unchanged over the month. (People who are
marginally attached to the labor force had not looked for work
in the 4 weeks prior to the survey but wanted a job, were
available for work, and had looked for a job within the last 12
months.) Discouraged workers, a subset of the marginally
attached who believed no jobs were available for them, numbered
514,000 in March, up 109,000 from February.
In addition to the increase in the number of unemployed
people, there was also an increase in the number of workers who
were classified as employed but absent from work for the entire
reference week. Special instructions sent to household survey
interviewers just before data collection started for March
called for all employed people absent from work due to
coronavirus-related business closures to be classified as
unemployed on temporary layoff. However, after BLS reviewed the
data, it was apparent that not all such workers were so
classified. Such a misclassification is an example of
nonsampling error and can occur when respondents misunderstand
questions or interviewers record answers incorrectly. As is our
usual practice, no ad hoc actions were taken to reassign survey
responses; the data were accepted as recorded.
If the workers who were recorded as employed but absent
from work due to "other reasons" (over and above the number
absent for other reasons in a typical March) had been classified
as unemployed on temporary layoff, the overall unemployment rate
would have been almost 1 percentage point higher than reported.
Additional information is available online at
www.bls.gov/cps/employment-situation-covid19-faq-march-2020.pdf.
Summarizing the labor market developments in March, nonfarm
payroll employment declined by 701,000, and the unemployment
rate increased to 4.4 percent, broadly reflecting some of the
early effects on the job market of the coronavirus and efforts
to contain it.