An official website of the United States government
Transmission of material in this statement is embargoed until
8:30 a.m. (ET) November 6, 2020.
Statement of
William W. Beach
Commissioner
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Friday, November 6, 2020
Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 638,000 in
October, and the unemployment rate fell to 6.9 percent. These
improvements reflect the continued resumption of economic
activity that had been curtailed due to the coronavirus (COVID-
19) pandemic and efforts to contain it.
In October, private nonfarm employment rose by 906,000.
Employment rose in several private-sector industries, with the
largest gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and
business services, retail trade, and construction. By contrast,
employment in government declined by 268,000.
Total nonfarm payroll employment has increased for 6
consecutive months but is down by 10.1 million (or 6.6 percent)
since February, before the onset of the pandemic in the United
States.
Although unemployment fell for the sixth month in a row in
October, the unemployment rate and the number of unemployed
people are up by 3.4 percentage points and 5.3 million,
respectively, since February.
The response rate for the establishment survey was above
average for October. The rate for the household survey, while
slightly below normal due to pandemic-related issues, was much
higher than earlier in the pandemic. The impact of the pandemic
on the household and establishment surveys is detailed in the
October Employment Situation news release and accompanying
materials (see www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_11062020.htm).
For both surveys, we were able to obtain estimates that meet BLS
standards for accuracy and reliability.
Taking a closer look at the October payroll data,
employment in leisure and hospitality grew by 271,000,
accounting for about two-fifths of the over-the-month growth in
total nonfarm employment. While leisure and hospitality has
added 4.8 million jobs since April, employment is 3.5 million
lower than in February. Within the industry, employment rose
over the month in food services and drinking places (+192,000);
arts, entertainment, and recreation (+44,000); and accommodation
(+34,000).
Employment in professional and business services increased
by 208,000 in October, with about half of the gain occurring in
temporary help services (+109,000). Other notable job gains
occurred in services to buildings and dwellings (+19,000),
computer systems design (+16,000), management and technical
consulting (+15,000), and investigation and security services
(+12,000). Overall, employment in professional and business
services is 1.1 million below its February level.
In October, retail trade added 104,000 jobs. Within the
industry, job gains occurred in electronics and appliance stores
(+31,000), motor vehicle and parts dealers (+23,000), furniture
and home furnishings stores (+14,000), clothing and accessories
stores (+13,000), general merchandise stores (+10,000), and
nonstore retailers (+9,000). Since February, retail trade
employment is down by 499,000.
Construction employment increased by 84,000 in October, but
is down by 294,000 since February. About half of the October
gain occurred in specialty trade contractors, with increases in
both the nonresidential (+28,000) and residential (+18,000)
components. Elsewhere in the industry, heavy and civil
engineering construction (+19,000) and construction of buildings
(+19,000) also added jobs.
In October, employment increased by 79,000 in health care
and social assistance. Health care employment increased by
58,000, with the largest gains in hospitals (+16,000), offices
of physicians (+14,000), offices of dentists (+11,000), and
outpatient care centers (+10,000). Nursing and residential care
facilities lost 9,000 jobs over the month, and employment has
declined by 238,000 since February. Social assistance added
21,000 jobs over the month.
In October, employment in transportation and warehousing
rose by 63,000, with the largest gains occurring in warehousing
and storage (+28,000), transit and ground passenger
transportation (+25,000), and truck transportation (+10,000).
These gains were partially offset by job losses in air
transportation (-18,000). Overall, employment in transportation
and warehousing is down by 271,000 since February.
Employment in other services increased by 47,000 in
October, with gains in personal and laundry services (+27,000)
and repair and maintenance (+18,000). Since February, employment
in other services is down by 436,000.
Manufacturing added 38,000 jobs in October, with gains
about evenly split between durable goods (+21,000) and
nondurable goods (+17,000). Manufacturing employment is down by
621,000 since February.
Employment in financial activities increased by 31,000 in
October. Over the month, job gains occurred in finance and
insurance (+17,000) and in real estate (+10,000). Since
February, financial activities employment is down by 129,000.
In October, employment in government declined by 268,000.
Federal government employment was down by 138,000, reflecting a
loss of 147,000 temporary workers who had been hired for the
2020 Census. State and local government each lost 65,000 jobs,
driven by employment declines in their education components.
Employment in other major industries--including mining,
wholesale trade, and information--showed little change over the
month.
Average weekly hours for all private-sector workers were
unchanged in October at 34.8 hours. The average workweek for
manufacturing rose by 0.3 hour in October to 40.5 hours. One
should continue to be cautious when interpreting changes in the
workweek at the total private level. In particular, large
employment changes in industries with shorter- or longer-than-
average workweeks can complicate monthly comparisons of average
weekly hours.
Similarly, changes in average earnings in recent months
must be interpreted with caution. Average hourly earnings of all
employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 4 cents in
October to $29.50.
Turning to the labor market indicators from the household
survey, the unemployment rate declined by 1.0 percentage point
to 6.9 percent in October, and the number of unemployed people
fell by 1.5 million to 11.1 million. Both measures have
decreased for 6 consecutive months but are nearly twice their
February levels.
The unemployment decrease in October was driven by a
decline of 1.4 million among people on temporary layoff. The
number of permanent job losers was about unchanged at 3.7
million in October but is up by 2.4 million since February.
Unemployment rates fell in October for adult men (6.7
percent), adult women (6.5 percent), teenagers (13.9 percent),
Whites (6.0 percent), Blacks (10.8 percent), Asians (7.6
percent), and Hispanics (8.8 percent).
Among the unemployed, the number of people searching for
work for 27 weeks or more (often referred to as the long-term
unemployed) rose by 1.2 million in October to 3.6 million. The
number of people who were jobless 15 to 26 weeks fell by 2.3
million to 2.6 million. The number of people who were unemployed
for 5 to 14 weeks declined by 457,000 to 2.3 million. The number
of people searching for work for less than 5 weeks was 2.5
million, little changed over the month.
The labor force participation rate increased by 0.3
percentage point to 61.7 percent in October but is 1.7
percentage points lower than in February. The employment-
population ratio increased by 0.8 percentage point to 57.4
percent in October; the rate is 3.7 percentage points lower than
in February.
In October, the number of people who usually work full time
increased by 1.2 million to 123.6 million, and the number who
usually work part time increased by 1.0 million to 26.2 million.
In October, the number of people at work part time for
economic reasons increased by 383,000 to 6.7 million, reflecting
an increase in the number of people whose hours were cut due to
slack work or business conditions. (This group includes people
who usually work full time and people who usually work part
time.) The October increase in the number of people at work part
time for economic reasons follows declines totaling 4.6 million
over the prior 5 months. The number of workers affected by this
type of underemployment was 2.4 million higher than its February
level.
The number of people not in the labor force who currently
want a job decreased by 539,000 in October to 6.7 million. This
measure is 1.7 million higher than in February.
Among those who were not in the labor force but wanted a
job, 2.0 million were considered marginally attached to the
labor force in October, about unchanged over the month. (People
who are marginally attached to the labor force had not actively
looked for work in the 4 weeks prior to the survey but wanted a
job, were available for work, and had looked for a job within
the last 12 months.) The number of discouraged workers, a subset
of the marginally attached who believed that no jobs were
available for them, at 588,000 in October, was essentially
unchanged over the month.
As has been the case since March, household survey
interviewers were instructed in October to classify employed
people absent from work due to temporary, coronavirus-related
business closures or cutbacks as unemployed on temporary layoff.
BLS and Census Bureau analyses of the underlying data
suggest that there still may be some workers affected by the
pandemic who should have been classified as unemployed on
temporary layoff. However, the share of responses that may have
been misclassified was considerably smaller in recent months.
For March through September, BLS published an estimate of
what the unemployment rate would have been had misclassified
workers been included among the unemployed. Repeating this same
approach, the overall October unemployment rate would have been
0.3 percentage point higher than reported. However, this
represents the upper bound of our estimate of misclassification
and probably overstates the size of the misclassification error.
Additional information is available online at
www.bls.gov/covid19/employment-situation-covid19-faq-october-
2020.htm.
Looking at the supplemental pandemic-related measures from
the household survey (these supplemental data are not seasonally
adjusted), 21.2 percent of employed people teleworked in October
because of the coronavirus pandemic, down from 22.7 percent in
September. These data refer to employed people who teleworked or
worked at home for pay at some point in the last 4 weeks
specifically because of the coronavirus pandemic.
In October, 15.1 million people reported that they had been
unable to work because their employer closed or lost business
due to the pandemic--that is, they did not work at all or worked
fewer hours at some point in the last 4 weeks due to the
pandemic. This is down from 19.4 million people in September.
Among those who reported in October that they were unable to
work because of pandemic-related closures or lost business, 11.7
percent received at least some pay from their employer for the
hours not worked, up from 10.3 percent in September.
About 3.6 million people not in the labor force in October
were prevented from looking for work due to the pandemic. This
is down from 4.5 million people in September. (To be counted as
unemployed, by definition, individuals must either be actively
looking for work or on temporary layoff.)
In summary, total nonfarm payroll employment increased by
638,000 in October, and the unemployment rate fell to 6.9
percent.