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Impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on the Producer Price Index data for August 2021

The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices domestic producers receive for the sale of their products. PPI estimates for August 2021 were published on September 10, 2021. The pricing date was Tuesday, August 10, 2021, which means that most producers, but not all, provided prices they received on that date. The summary statistics in tables 1, 2, 3 and 4 indicate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the PPI data collection, index estimation, and the BLS ability to publish indexes was minor for the release of preliminary August data. No changes in estimation procedures were necessary.

This page provides information on the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic for the August 2021 Producer Price Indexes news release.

Collection mode

The PPI collects nearly all of its repricing data by web collection. There were no changes to collection mode in response to the pandemic.

Response rates

Table 1 provides the August 2021 response rate by industry sector, along with comparison periods of August 2020, July 2021, and a 12-month average for March 2019 to February 2020.

It is important to note that typically, the PPI survey’s monthly price collection response rate averages 76 percent by the end of its 4-month index revision period. All PPIs are recalculated 4 months after publication of preliminary data. Thus, August 2021 indexes may be revised when BLS publishes the PPI for December in January 2022. All summary statistics in the tables below reflect comparisons to PPI preliminary data.

Table 1. Comparative response rates percentages for the release of PPI preliminary industry indexes
Industry sectors12-month average, March 2019 to February 2020August 2020July 2021August 2021Percentage point change from July 2021 to August 2021

All industrial sectors

697473730

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting

47475250-2

Mining, utilities, and construction

667468691

Manufacturing

74767574-1

Wholesale trade

62646460-4

Retail trade

75777877-1

Transportation and warehousing

80798381-2

Finance, real estate, and other information services

797778791

Health care services

596163652

Entertainment, accommodation and food services

664752531

Other services, except public administration

801008976-13

Imputation

When a respondent does not provide a price for an item, BLS employs an imputation method of replacing that missing price with a statistically estimated value. Missing prices are imputed by the prices of similar items that have been collected. Essentially, the price movement of items that are not collected are estimated to be the same as those in their general index category. Table 2 indicates that the August 2021 item imputation rate of 39 percent reflects an increase from the preceding month but is similar to the other comparison periods.

Table 2. Comparative summary percentages for the release of preliminary PPI data
Measure12-month average, March 2019 to February 2020August 2020July 2021August 2021Percentage point change from July 2021 to August 2021

Item imputation rate

393835394

Cell, series, index, or observation suppression

BLS calculates over 10,000 PPIs for individual products and groups of products for publication during the release of preliminary data. The first row of table 3 shows the August 2021 publication rate is very similar to the comparison periods. BLS suppresses indexes when they fail to meet publication criteria. Because of additional collection efforts along with late-arriving data, these suppressed indexes often will meet publication criteria at the end of the 4-month index revision period, at which time they are published. (Upon request, BLS will provide a list of indexes that did not meet publication criteria for the release of preliminary PPI data. Please email requests to ppi-info@bls.gov.)

Further illustrating the nominal impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the second row of table 3 shows the percent of industry indexes that BLS was unable to calculate because BLS did not receive any prices for that index. This proportion of not calculated indexes for August 2021 is similar to the normal result.

Table 4 takes a closer look at the not calculated PPI indexes by industry and reflects that across all industry sectors there is little difference between August’s result when compared with earlier periods.

Table 3. Comparative summary percentages for the release of preliminary PPI data
Measure12-month average, March 2019 to February 2020August 2020July 2021August 2021Percentage point change from July 2021 to August 2021

Percent of indexes (intended to publish) that were actually published

898988880

Percent of PPI industry indexes not calculated

67770
Table 4. Comparative percent of PPI preliminary industry indexes not calculated
Industry sectors12-month average, March 2019 to February 2020August 2020July 2021August 2021Percentage point change from July 2021 to August 2021

All industrial sectors

67770

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting

33330

Mining, utilities, and construction

131413141

Manufacturing

77880

Wholesale trade

44550

Retail trade

00000

Transportation and warehousing

01110

Finance, real estate, and other information services

11110

Health care services

109990

Entertainment, accommodation and food services

00000

Other services, except public administration

00000

Note: BLS collects price data to support several thousand industry PPIs, from lower-level industry product lines up to 2-digit industry sectors. All of the noncalculating indexes are below the industry (6-digit) level and reflect industry product lines. BLS calculates some detailed, lower-level PPI indexes that are not intended to meet publication criteria but are necessary for weighting and imputation purposes.

Last Modified Date: September 10, 2021