Prices in the New York-Newark-Jersey City area, as measured by the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), rose 0.1 percent in June, after increasing 0.5 percent in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Chief Regional Economist Martin Kohli attributed the increase to higher energy prices. (Data in this report are not seasonally adjusted. Accordingly, month-to-month changes may reflect the impact of seasonal influences.)

Over the year, the CPI-U increased 1.3 percent. (See chart 1 and table A.) The index for all items less food and energy advanced 1.5 percent. Price increases for shelter drove the 12-month change in both indexes. (See table 1.)

Food

The food index edged down 0.1 percent in June, after rising 1.2 percent in May. Prices for food at home dropped 0.7 percent, with lower prices reported for five of the six major grocery groups. Eggs, beef roasts, and carbonated drinks were among the items with June price declines. By contrast, prices for food away from home climbed 0.7 percent.

From June 2019 to June 2020, the food index advanced 4.9 percent. Prices for food at home rose 5.4 percent, and prices for food away from home rose 4.2 percent.

Energy

The energy index increased 5.9 percent in June, after decreasing 1.2 percent in May. Household energy prices rose 7.8 percent. Electricity prices jumped 11.9 percent—the largest increase in over ten years—partly reflecting seasonal surcharges. By contrast, natural gas prices declined 1.0 percent. Gasoline prices rose 2.6 percent in June, following a 4.8-percent decline one month earlier.

For the year ended in June 2020, energy prices dropped 9.7 percent, primarily due to a 24.2-percent fall in gasoline prices. Household energy prices rose 0.6 percent, with higher prices for electricity (5.3 percent) and for natural gas (0.2 percent). 

All items less food and energy

The index for all items less food and energy decreased 0.2 percent in June, following a 0.5-percent increase in May. Prices declined for recreation (-7.2 percent), new vehicles (-1.7 percent), and used cars and trucks (-1.1 percent), among other categories. These declines were tempered by increases in motor vehicle insurance (9.5 percent), household furnishings and operations (1.8 percent), and medical care (0.8 percent). Shelter prices were flat over the month, with residential rent up 0.1 percent and owners’ equivalent rent unchanged.

Over the year, the index for all items less food and energy rose 1.5 percent. A 1.9-percent increase in shelter prices included a 2.7-percent rise in owners’ equivalent rent and a 1.9-percent increase in residential rent. Medical care and recreation prices rose 5.1 and 2.6 percent, respectively. A 4.3-percent rise in prices for tuition, other school fees, and childcare contributed to a 2.5-percent increase in prices for education and communication. Partly offsetting these increases was a decline for apparel (-7.8 percent).

Table A. New York-Newark-Jersey City CPI-U 1-month and 12-month percent changes (not seasonally adjusted)

Month	2015		2016		2017		2018		2019		2020
	1-month	12-month	1-month	12-month	1-month	12-month	1-month	12-month	1-month	12-month	1-month	12-month
January	0.1	-0.5	0.2	0.8	0.6	2.5	0.4	1.4	0.5	1.6	0.8	2.5
February	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.3	2.6	0.5	1.7	0.2	1.3	0.2	2.4
March	0.2	-0.1	0.2	0.7	0.0	2.3	0.0	1.7	0.3	1.6	-0.2	2.0
April	0.1	0.0	0.4	1.0	0.1	2.0	0.3	1.9	0.3	1.6	-0.5	1.1
May	0.4	-0.1	0.3	0.9	0.1	1.8	0.4	2.2	0.2	1.5	0.5	1.4
June	0.2	0.1	0.2(R)	0.9(R)	0.2	1.8	0.1	2.0	0.3	1.7	0.1	1.3
July	-0.1	-0.1	-0.1	1.0	-0.2	1.6	0.0	2.2	0.0	1.7
August	0.1	0.1	0.2	1.1	0.2	1.7	0.1	2.2	0.2	1.8
September	0.2	0.3	0.2	1.0	0.5	2.1	0.4	2.0	0.0	1.4
October	-0.1	0.4	0.1	1.2	-0.2	1.8	-0.1	2.0	0.0	1.5
November	-0.2	0.6	0.2	1.6	-0.1	1.6	-0.2	1.9	0.1	1.8
December	-0.4	0.7	0.1	2.1	0.1	1.6	-0.2	1.6	0.1	2.2
Footnotes: (R) = revised.

CPI-W

In June, the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) was 276.529, unchanged over the month. The CPI-W rose 1.2 percent over the year.

The July 2020 Consumer Price Index for New York-Newark-Jersey City is scheduled to be released on Wednesday, August 12, 2020, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Technical Note

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change in prices over time in a fixed market basket of goods and services. The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes CPIs for two population groups: (1) a CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which covers approximately 93 percent of the total population and (2) a CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) which covers approximately 29 percent of the total population. The CPI-U includes, in addition to wage earners and clerical workers, groups such as professional, managerial, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, and retirees and others not in the labor force.

The CPI is based on prices of food, clothing, shelter, and fuels, transportation fares, charges for doctors' and dentists' services, drugs, and the other goods and services that people buy for day-to-day living. Each month, prices are collected in 75 urban areas across the country from about 6,000 housing units and approximately 22,000 retail establishments--department stores, supermarkets, hospitals, filling stations, and other types of stores and service establishments. All taxes directly associated with the purchase and use of items are included in the index.

The index measures price changes from a designated reference date (1982-84) that equals 100.0. An increase of 16.5 percent, for example, is shown as 116.5. This change can also be expressed in dollars as follows: the price of a base period "market basket" of goods and services in the CPI has risen from $10 in 1982-84 to $11.65. For further details see the CPI home page on the Internet at www.bls.gov/cpi and the BLS Handbook of Methods, Chapter 17, The Consumer Price Index, available on the Internet at www.bls.gov/opub/hom/pdf/homch17.pdf.

In calculating the index, price changes for the various items in each location are averaged together with weights that represent their importance in the spending of the appropriate population group. Local data are then combined to obtain a U.S. city average. Because the sample size of a local area is smaller, the local area index is subject to substantially more sampling and other measurement error than the national index. In addition, local indexes are not adjusted for seasonal influences. As a result, local area indexes show greater volatility than the national index, although their long-term trends are quite similar. NOTE: Area indexes do not measure differences in the level of prices between cities; they only measure the average change in prices for each area since the base period.

The New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA Core Based Statistical Area includes Bronx, Dutchess, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Putnam, Queens, Richmond, Rockland, Suffolk, and Westchester Counties in New York; Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Passaic, Somerset, Sussex, and Union Counties in New Jersey; and Pike County in Pennsylvania.

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