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October 2012

Current Employment Statistics seasonal adjustment and the 2007-2009 recession

Jurgen Kropf, Nicole Hudson

Removing the declines due to the 2007–2009 recession prior to seasonal adjustment in a number of experimental data series reveals that the recession did not create any bias causing a pattern of stronger increases in employment in the winter months of the fourth through the first quarter versus weaker increases from the second to the third quarter.

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