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Employment Projections

Macro Projections Evaluation: 2008–2018

GDP projections, actual, and potential (in millions, $2012)
Year BLS Projection BEA Actual Potential

1998

12,038.3 11,884.1

1999

12,610.5 12,392.3

2000

13,131.0 12,917.7

2001

13,262.1 13,401.8

2002

13,493.1 13,810.5

2003

13,879.1 14,182.5

2004

14,406.4 14,562.1

2005

14,912.5 14,946.8

2006

15,338.3 15,281.8

2007

15,626.0 15,579.6

2008

15,604.7 15,868.0

2009

15,208.8 16,105.7

2010

15,598.8 16,279.6

2011

15,840.7 16,472.7

2012

16,197.0 16,711.7

2013

16,495.4 16,987.3

2014

16,912.0 17,279.4

2015

17,403.8 17,584.7

2016

17,688.9 17,892.4

2017

18,108.1 18,197.7

2018

19,736.9 18,638.2 18,535.8
Unemployment rate, projected, actual, and potential
Year BLS Projected Actual Unemp Rate Potential

1998

4.5 5.3

1999

4.2 5.3

2000

4.0 5.2

2001

4.7 5.2

2002

5.8 5.1

2003

6.0 5.1

2004

5.5 5.0

2005

5.1 5.0

2006

4.6 5.0

2007

4.6 5.0

2008

5.8 4.9

2009

9.3 5.0

2010

9.6 5.0

2011

8.9 5.1

2012

8.1 5.0

2013

7.4 5.0

2014

6.2 4.8

2015

5.3 4.7

2016

4.9 4.6

2017

4.4 4.6

2018

5.1 3.9 4.6

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey, Congressional Budget Office, 2008-2018 Bureau of Labor Statistics

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Last Modified Date: December 15, 2023