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Employment Projections
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Aggregate Economy Projections and Historical Data
BLS develops aggregate economic projections as a key input for its employment projections. This page contains the most recently released macroeconomic model solution.
Methodology
The methodology used to project the aggregate economy is described in detail on the Employment Projections program's methodology page and in the BLS Handbook of Methods.
Data Tables
All aggregate economy tables in a single file (XLSX)
- Table 4.1 Labor supply and factors affecting productivity
- Table 4.2 Real gross domestic product by major demand category
- Table 4.3 Nominal gross domestic product by major demand category
- Table 4.4 Major assumptions affecting aggregate projections
Most Recent Analysis
-
Dubina, Kevin; Ice, Lindsey; Kim, Janie-Lynn; and Rieley, Michael, "Projections Overview and Highlights, 2020–30," Monthly Labor Review, Forthcoming 2021.
Other Aggregate Economy Analysis
Data for Researchers
Historical time-series for critical aggregate variables, 2012–2020 and projected 2030 (XLSX)
The file contains the following tables:
- Labor supply and factors affecting productivity
- Real gross domestic product--demand categories
- Nominal gross domestic product--demand categories
- Major assumptions affecting aggregate projections
Contact Us
- Via e-mail.
- Via telephone at 202-691-5700.
- Via mail to: Office of Employment and Unemployment Statistics, Suite 2135, 2 Massachusetts Avenue, NE, Washington DC 20212-0001.
Last Modified Date: September 8, 2021