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Employment Projections

Real gross domestic product by major demand category

Other available formats: (XLSX)

Table 4.2 Real gross domestic product by major demand category, 2003, 2013, 2023, and projected 2033 (Numbers in billions of chained 2017 dollars)
Category 2003 2013 2023 2033 Compound annual rate of change, 2003-13 Compound annual rate of change, 2013-23 Compound annual rate of change, 2023-33

Gross domestic product[1]

14,877.3 17,812.2 22,339.2 26,929.6 1.8 2.3 1.9

Personal consumption expenditures

9,937.5 11,889.9 15,414.9 19,238.1 1.8 2.6 2.2

Gross private domestic investment[1]

2,386.4 2,938.7 4,042.6 5,121.5 2.1 3.2 2.4

Nonresidential equipment

615.3 1,006.5 1,249.7 1,674.0 5.0 2.2 3.0

Nonresidential intellectual property products

436.4 695.0 1,397.7 1,853.5 4.8 7.2 2.9

Nonresidential structures

502.3 537.3 623.3 680.7 0.7 1.5 0.9

Residential structures

932.7 601.1 733.0 889.8 -4.3 2.0 2.0

Change in private inventories

20.1 103.5 37.4 68.4 17.8 -9.7 6.2

Exports

1,250.2 2,190.3 2,497.7 3,415.6 5.8 1.3 3.2

Imports[2]

1,842.2 2,494.6 3,434.4 4,819.5 3.1 3.2 3.4

Government consumption expenditures and gross investment[1]

3,153.9 3,275.6 3,810.4 3,940.0 0.4 1.5 0.3

Federal defense, consumption expenditures

555.8 635.4 635.9 651.1 1.3 0.0 0.2

Federal defense, gross investment

128.5 157.0 189.0 194.0 2.0 1.9 0.3

Federal nondefense, consumption expenditures

306.0 370.9 454.5 471.6 1.9 2.1 0.4

Federal nondefense, gross investment

100.2 120.3 198.3 183.2 1.8 5.1 -0.8

State and local, consumption expenditures

1,657.8 1,640.9 1,916.1 1,971.3 -0.1 1.6 0.3

State and local, gross investment

419.0 350.8 417.3 462.4 -1.8 1.8 1.0

Addendum:

GDP per capita, chained 2017 dollars

51,220.3 56,216.5 66,069.2 77,228.1 0.9 1.6 1.6

Footnotes:

[1] Individual components chain-weight to their aggregates, therefore their sum will not match the aggregates. Rounding also has a small effect on why individual components may not sum to the aggregates.

[2] Imports are subtracted from the other components of GDP because they are not produced in the United States.

Note: Historic data may differ slightly from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This is due to differences in the precision of the multiplier used to convert nominal data to real.

Source: Historical data: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Projected data: Employment Projections program, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Last Modified Date: August 29, 2024