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Employment Projections

Real gross domestic product by major demand category

Other available formats (XLSX)

Table 4.2 Real gross domestic product by major demand category, 2005, 2015, 2025, and projected 2035
(Numbers in billions of chained 2017 dollars, unless otherwise noted)
Category 2005 2015 2025 2035 Compound annual rate of change,
2005–15
Compound annual rate of change,
2015–25
Compound annual rate of change,
2025–35

Gross domestic product

15,988.0 18,799.6 23,864.5 29,259.2 1.6 2.4 2.1

Personal consumption expenditures

10,677.4 12,638.8 16,515.0 21,060.0 1.7 2.7 2.5

Gross private domestic investment

2,782.2 3,323.4 4,434.6 5,985.4 1.8 2.9 3.0

Nonresidential equipment

737.2 1,127.2 1,419.5 2,030.5 4.3 2.3 3.6

Nonresidential intellectual property products

491.7 774.0 1,598.3 2,371.6 4.6 7.5 4.0

Nonresidential structures

512.7 598.2 659.2 778.5 1.6 1.0 1.7

Residential structures

1,093.0 693.2 773.2 864.3 -4.5 1.1 1.1

Change in private inventories

67.1 133.6 29.0 112.1 7.1 -14.2 14.5

Exports

1,466.0 2,283.1 2,679.5 3,536.0 4.5 1.6 2.8

Imports

2,177.3 2,759.5 3,765.5 5,450.0 2.4 3.2 3.8

Government consumption expenditures and gross investment

3,226.2 3,313.6 3,991.1 4,038.1 0.3 1.9 0.1

Federal defense, consumption expenditures

590.0 597.9 667.5 673.4 0.1 1.1 0.1

Federal defense, gross investment

148.4 146.9 207.7 225.3 -0.1 3.5 0.8

Federal nondefense, consumption expenditures

317.8 381.0 444.7 432.9 1.8 1.6 -0.3

Federal nondefense, gross investment

102.9 126.9 192.3 167.5 2.1 4.2 -1.4

State and local, consumption expenditures

1,669.1 1,691.9 2,013.0 2,048.0 0.1 1.8 0.2

State and local, gross investment

404.3 368.9 465.3 488.7 -0.9 2.4 0.5

Addendum:

GDP per capita (chained 2017 dollars)

54,034.7 58,360.1 69,812.6 83,392.5 0.8 1.8 1.8

Note:

GDP subcategories do not necessarily add to higher categories due to chain-weighting and rounding.

Imports are subtracted from the other components of GDP because they are not produced in the United States.

Historical data are from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Historic data may differ slightly from the Bureau of Economic Analysis due to differences in the precision of the multiplier used to convert nominal data to real.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Last modified date: August 27, 2026