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Employment Projections

Nominal gross domestic product by major demand category

Other available formats: (XLSX)
Table 4.3 Nominal gross domestic product by major demand category, 2004, 2014, 2024, and projected 2034 (Numbers in billions of current dollars)
Category 2004 2014 2024 2034 Percent distribution, 2004 Percent distribution, 2014 Percent distribution, 2024 Percent distribution, 2034

Gross Domestic Product[1]

12,217.2 17,608.1 29,179.1 44,202.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Personal consumption expenditures

8,232.0 11,874.5 19,826.1 30,918.9 67.4 67.4 67.9 69.9

Gross private domestic investment[1]

2,281.3 3,074.0 5,272.9 7,396.8 18.7 17.5 18.1 16.7

Nonresidential equipment

721.9 1,109.1 1,506.2 2,120.4 5.9 6.3 5.2 4.8

Nonresidential intellectual property products

437.8 741.5 1,619.3 2,326.1 3.6 4.2 5.5 5.3

Nonresidential structures

307.7 574.6 911.2 1,194.3 2.5 3.3 3.1 2.7

Residential structures

749.8 564.0 1,185.7 1,670.2 6.1 3.2 4.1 3.8

Change in private inventories

64.1 84.8 50.5 85.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2

Exports

1,176.4 2,378.5 3,178.9 4,906.6 9.6 13.5 10.9 11.1

Imports[2]

1,810.5 2,887.4 4,087.7 5,644.4 14.8 16.4 14.0 12.8

Government consumption expenditures and gross investment[1]

2,338.1 3,168.6 4,988.9 6,624.5 19.1 18.0 17.1 15.0

Federal defense, consumption expenditures

448.9 597.1 837.3 1,065.2 3.7 3.4 2.9 2.4

Federal defense, gross investment

121.0 146.9 232.4 265.1 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.6

Federal nondefense, consumption expenditures

234.8 353.2 567.8 716.4 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.6

Federal nondefense, gross investment

87.5 119.8 229.4 217.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.5

State and local, consumption expenditures

1,168.2 1,612.0 2,511.5 3,516.1 9.6 9.2 8.6 8.0

State and local, gross investment

277.8 339.5 610.4 844.3 2.3 1.9 2.1 1.9

Footnotes:

[1] Individual components may not sum to aggregates because of rounding.

[2] Imports are subtracted from the other components of GDP because they are not produced in the United States.

Source: Historical data: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Projected data: Employment Projections program, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Last Modified Date: August 28, 2025