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Employment Projections

Industries with the most rapidly declining output

Other available formats: (XLSX)

Table 2.8 Industries with the most rapidly declining output, 2025 and projected 2035
(Output in billions of chained 2017 dollars)
Industry title Sector 2022 NAICS Output, 2025 Output, 2035 Output change, numeric, 2025–35 Compound annual rate of change, 2025–35

Total, all industries

41,009.8 50,044.2 9,034.5 2.0

Motor vehicle parts manufacturing

Manufacturing 3363 246.7 186.0 -60.7 -2.8

Tobacco manufacturing

Manufacturing 3122 47.2 36.0 -11.2 -2.7

Electric lighting equipment manufacturing

Manufacturing 3351 12.7 10.2 -2.6 -2.2

Manufacturing and reproducing magnetic and optical media

Manufacturing 3346 1.2 1.0 -0.2 -1.6

Coal mining

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 2121 30.0 26.4 -3.6 -1.3

Alumina and aluminum production and processing

Manufacturing 3313 38.8 35.0 -3.8 -1.0

Apparel manufacturing

Manufacturing 315 9.7 8.8 -0.9 -1.0

Foundries

Manufacturing 3315 26.6 26.2 -0.4 -0.2

Textile product mills

Manufacturing 314 18.2 17.9 -0.3 -0.1

Textile mills

Manufacturing 313 19.0 18.9 -0.1 0.0

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Last modified date: August 27, 2026