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Employment Projections

Industries with the largest output declines

Other available formats: (XLSX)

Table 2.10 Industries with the largest output declines (Output in billions of chained 2017 dollars)
Industry description Sector 2022 NAICS Output, 2024 Output, 2034 Output change, numeric, 2024–34 Compound annual rate of change, 2024–34

Motor vehicle parts manufacturing

Manufacturing 3363 250.8 180.2 -70.6 -3.3

Tobacco manufacturing

Manufacturing 3122 65.2 54.6 -10.6 -1.8

Coal mining

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 2121 29.8 24.6 -5.2 -1.9

Support activities for mining

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 213 95.6 90.6 -5.0 -0.5

Apparel manufacturing

Manufacturing 315 12.3 10.1 -2.1 -1.9

Foundries

Manufacturing 3315 26.9 24.8 -2.1 -0.8

Electric lighting equipment manufacturing

Manufacturing 3351 12.1 10.6 -1.5 -1.3

Pulp, paper, and paperboard mills

Manufacturing 3221 63.9 63.1 -0.9 -0.1

Manufacturing and reproducing magnetic and optical media

Manufacturing 3346 1.7 1.4 -0.3 -1.9

Source: Employment Projections program, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Last Modified Date: August 28, 2025