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Employment Projections

Occupations with the largest job declines

Other available formats: (XLSX)

Table 1.6 Occupations with the largest job declines, 2024 and projected 2034 (Employment in thousands)
2024 National Employment Matrix title 2024 National Employment Matrix code Employment, 2024 Employment, 2034 Employment change, numeric, 2024–34 Employment change, percent, 2024–34 Median annual wage, dollars, 2024[1]

Total, all occupations

00-0000 169,956.1 175,167.9 5,211.8 3.1 49,500

Cashiers

41-2011 3,157.2 2,843.6 -313.6 -9.9 31,190

Office clerks, general

43-9061 2,646.0 2,468.2 -177.8 -6.7 43,630

Customer service representatives

43-4051 2,814.0 2,660.3 -153.7 -5.5 42,830

Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks

43-3031 1,613.4 1,519.1 -94.3 -5.8 49,210

Cooks, fast food

35-2011 669.5 579.2 -90.3 -13.5 30,160

First-line supervisors of retail sales workers

41-1011 1,432.6 1,360.3 -72.3 -5.0 47,320

Shipping, receiving, and inventory clerks

43-5071 862.2 795.8 -66.3 -7.7 43,190

Tellers

43-3071 347.4 302.5 -44.9 -12.9 39,340

Data entry keyers

43-9021 141.6 104.9 -36.7 -25.9 39,850

Packers and packagers, hand

53-7064 591.8 559.7 -32.2 -5.4 35,580

Food preparation workers

35-2021 902.7 871.8 -30.9 -3.4 34,220

Secretaries and administrative assistants, except legal, medical, and executive

43-6014 1,944.0 1,913.2 -30.8 -1.6 46,290

Correctional officers and jailers

33-3012 387.5 357.4 -30.1 -7.8 57,970

Childcare workers

39-9011 991.6 962.4 -29.2 -2.9 32,050

Elementary school teachers, except special education

25-2021 1,422.7 1,394.8 -27.9 -2.0 62,340

Payroll and timekeeping clerks

43-3051 161.1 134.2 -27.0 -16.7 55,290

Computer user support specialists

15-1232 729.5 702.5 -27.0 -3.7 60,340

Cutting, punching, and press machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic

51-4031 174.7 153.6 -21.1 -12.1 45,590

Teaching assistants, except postsecondary

25-9045 1,422.8 1,401.7 -21.1 -1.5 35,240

Retail salespersons

41-2031 3,936.7 3,917.1 -19.6 -0.5 34,580

Interviewers, except eligibility and loan

43-4111 164.3 145.1 -19.1 -11.6 43,830

Computer numerically controlled tool operators

51-9161 177.1 158.1 -19.0 -10.7 49,970

Claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators

13-1031 356.1 337.9 -18.2 -5.1 76,790

Office and administrative support workers, all other

43-9199 232.9 214.8 -18.1 -7.8 46,040

Secondary school teachers, except special and career/technical education

25-2031 1,094.5 1,076.7 -17.8 -1.6 64,580

Bill and account collectors

43-3011 166.9 149.4 -17.5 -10.5 46,040

Farmworkers and laborers, crop, nursery, and greenhouse

45-2092 504.8 488.1 -16.8 -3.3 35,690

Waiters and waitresses

35-3031 2,329.7 2,313.5 -16.3 -0.7 33,760

Order clerks

43-4151 89.5 74.1 -15.4 -17.2 44,660

Helpers--production workers

51-9198 168.5 153.5 -15.0 -8.9 38,220

Footnotes:

[1] Data are from the Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics program, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Wage data cover non-farm wage and salary workers and do not cover the self-employed, owners and partners in unincorporated firms, or household workers.

Source: Employment Projections program, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Last Modified Date: August 28, 2025