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Employment Projections

Output by major industry sector

Other available formats (XLSX)

Table 2.2 Output by major industry sector, 2025 and projected 2035 (Output in billions of chained 2017 dollars)
Industry sector 2022 NAICS Output, 2015 Output, 2025 Output, 2035 Compound annual rate of change, 2015–25 Compound annual rate of change, 2025–35 Percent distribution, 2015 Percent distribution, 2025 Percent distribution, 2035

Total, all industries

33,103.2 41,009.8 50,044.2 2.2 2.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting

11 423.5 459.7 519.2 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.0

Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction

21 517.1 592.9 703.4 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.4

Utilities

22 497.9 526.6 673.0 0.6 2.5 1.5 1.3 1.3

Construction

23 1,466.8 1,725.8 1,939.6 1.6 1.2 4.4 4.2 3.9

Manufacturing

31, 32, 33 5,712.4 5,604.1 6,515.4 -0.2 1.5 17.3 13.7 13.0

Wholesale trade

42 1,956.4 2,139.9 2,714.7 0.9 2.4 5.9 5.2 5.4

Retail trade

44, 45 1,677.8 2,367.4 3,047.7 3.5 2.6 5.1 5.8 6.1

Transportation and warehousing

48, 492, 493 1,157.7 1,397.4 1,740.2 1.9 2.2 3.5 3.4 3.5

Information

51 1,562.5 2,754.0 3,782.0 5.8 3.2 4.7 6.7 7.6

Finance and insurance

52 2,770.0 3,285.1 3,915.2 1.7 1.8 8.4 8.0 7.8

Real estate and rental and leasing

53 2,024.2 2,851.3 3,474.3 3.5 2.0 6.1 7.0 6.9

Professional, scientific, and technical services

54 2,029.8 3,229.0 4,133.5 4.8 2.5 6.1 7.9 8.3

Management of companies and enterprises

55 542.5 844.9 1,084.1 4.5 2.5 1.6 2.1 2.2

Administrative and support and waste management and remediation services

56 940.7 1,239.5 1,500.8 2.8 1.9 2.8 3.0 3.0

Educational services; private

61 354.5 412.9 481.1 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.0 1.0

Healthcare and social assistance; private

62 2,242.1 3,085.7 4,170.2 3.2 3.1 6.8 7.5 8.3

Arts, entertainment, and recreation

71 324.9 461.3 578.0 3.6 2.3 1.0 1.1 1.2

Accommodation and food services

72 1,046.7 1,307.8 1,644.7 2.3 2.3 3.2 3.2 3.3

Other services (except public administration)

81 677.1 780.1 942.4 1.4 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9

Federal government

1,125.1 1,263.5 1,293.4 1.2 0.2 3.4 3.1 2.6

State and local government

2,543.2 3,044.8 3,322.8 1.8 0.9 7.7 7.4 6.6

Nonemployment industries

1,526.2 1,801.7 2,276.5 1.7 2.4 4.6 4.4 4.5

Note:

Subcategories do not necessarily add to higher categories as a by-product of chain-weighting.

Major sectors covered under NAICS 61 and 62 only include privately owned establishments. Publicly owned establishments covered by NAICS 61 and 62 are included in the State and local government major sector.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Last modified date: August 27, 2026